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Prediction markets for San Francisco Bay Area
OptionProbability
47
11
10
7
6
5
3
3
2
2
2
1
OptionProbability
14
13
10
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
1
OptionProbability
40
21
18
11
11
OptionVotes
1420
704
Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?
Jun 21, 1:20 AMJan 2, 2:11 AM
10.45%chance
10380
OptionVotes
293
34
OptionProbability
47
17
6
6
6
6
6
6
Will we see the transit funding initiative on the ballot?
Jan 24, 5:00 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM
86.94%chance
5172
OptionVotes
258
39
OptionProbability
19
19
19
19
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?
Apr 7, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
81.32%chance
8104
OptionVotes
294
148
If AI destroys the world by 2035, will it be largely due to a company/lab based in the San Francisco Bay Area?
Jul 29, 6:33 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM
67.07%chance
554
OptionVotes
188
141
OptionProbability
20
18
11
9
9
9
9
9
9
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
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