San Francisco Bay Area News

Waymo Gets Permit to Test Eight Self-Driving Cars in NYC With Human Operators, Testing Until Late September

1 year ago

Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations

Automobile

Robotics

San Francisco

Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations

1 year ago

Newsom Sends Highway Patrol Teams Statewide as Trump Floats Guard Deployment

US Domestic Policy

California

Politics

Newsom Sends Highway Patrol Teams Statewide as Trump Floats Guard Deployment

11 months ago

Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC?

Sep 23, 1:12 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

254535

OptionProbability

There is no other Manifest X by the end of 2026

New York

Boston

Montreal

Other

Prospera

Texas (any major city)

Surprise! Washington, DC again!

San Francisco Bay Area (excluding Lighthaven)

London

Paris

Berlin

What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Apr 14, 7:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53400

OptionProbability

Acquired by, or merged into, a (non-SPAC) public company

Going public (e.g. IPO, SPAC, Direct listing)

Other

None of the other options happen by 2060

Bankruptcy or going out of business

Where will I live in October 2026?

Apr 24, 6:30 PMOct 1, 12:00 AM

132938

OptionProbability

Menlo Park, CA

Other

Berkeley, CA

Stanford, CA

San Francisco, CA

Oakland, CA

San Jose, CA

Warren's Gore, VT

When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven?

Nov 13, 6:57 PMDec 31, 6:50 PM

62522

OptionProbability

Q3 2026

Q2 2026

Q1 2026

Q4 2026

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

Q1 2028

Q2 2028

Q3 2028

Q4 2025

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Dec 12, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.14%chance

5527

OptionVotes

YES

1420

704

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Aug 6, 4:12 AMAug 6, 12:00 AM

92.05%chance

7320

OptionVotes

YES

332

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Aug 6, 4:36 PMAug 6, 12:00 AM

55.44%chance

8120

OptionVotes

YES

115

In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?

Apr 7, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.32%chance

8104

OptionVotes

YES

294

148

Will Chez Panisse in Berkeley get a Michelin star before 2030?

Jul 6, 1:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.12%chance

570

OptionVotes

YES

133

If AI destroys the world by 2035, will it be largely due to a company/lab based in the San Francisco Bay Area?

Jul 29, 6:33 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

67.07%chance

554

OptionVotes

YES

188

141

Where will my home address be in 2028

Mar 30, 5:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

339

OptionProbability

Atlanta Metro Area, Georgia, USA

Other

Switzerland

San Diego Metro Area, California, USA

Pittsburgh Metro Area, Pennsylvania, USA

San Francisco Bay Area, California, USA

Sacramento Metro Area, California USA

Los Angeles Metro Area, California, USA

Raleigh Durham Metro Area, North Carolina, USA

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

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Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC?

What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Where will I live in October 2026?

When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven?

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?

Will Chez Panisse in Berkeley get a Michelin star before 2030?

If AI destroys the world by 2035, will it be largely due to a company/lab based in the San Francisco Bay Area?

Where will my home address be in 2028

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Latest stories

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