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Prediction markets for Santiago Bernabéu
Which of these IUCN critically endangered ("Red List") species will still be extant in 2040?
Apr 25, 11:29 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
243947
OptionProbability
95
90
86
81
80
77
77
72
69
69
67
61
58
58
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
47
31
10
OptionVotes
1000
939
How many accusations of plagiarism against MIT faculty will be release by Bill Ackman’s investigation?
Jan 6, 1:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
432063
OptionProbability
38
28
12
11
8
3
If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term?
Jul 4, 11:15 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
83.41%chance
281679
OptionVotes
2242
446
Will DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
Jan 21, 10:22 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
41.13%chance
261275
OptionVotes
1188
574
If Trump wins, what will the Democracy Index be for the US at the end of his presidency?
Mar 10, 5:36 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
13686
OptionProbability
42
18
18
17
4
3
OptionProbability
26
25
13
7
6
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
39
13
9
7
6
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will there be any passenger Jumbo Jets (A380, B747) still flying by 2035?
Jun 12, 7:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
74.73%chance
483
OptionVotes
158
48
OptionProbability
67
26
7
WILL JOSE LUIS RICON join the Order of Santiago, of Calatrava, Alcantara, or Montesa?
Jul 15, 5:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
118
OptionVotes
100
100
OptionProbability
33
33
33
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