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Top stories

Sony Unveils First Teaser for Tom Holland’s ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’

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14 hours ago

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US Foreign Policy

Trump Opens New Scottish Golf Course After Trip Blending Diplomacy and Protest

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Prediction markets for Scotland

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2030?

Jun 15, 10:43 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

5.47%chance

444990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3091

730

Who will succeed John Swinney as First Minister of Scotland?

May 18, 7:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

113268

OptionProbability

Anas Sarwar

Kate Forbes

Other

Mairi McAllan

Angus Robertson

Jenny Gilruth

Neil Gray

Douglas Ross

Alex Cole-Hamilton

45

30

11

4

2

2

2

2

2

Who will be First Minister of Scotland on July 1st 2026?

May 4, 12:40 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

82547

OptionProbability

John Swinney

Anas Sarwar

Other

Kate Forbes

Douglas Ross

Alex Cole-Hamilton

Angus Robertson

65

22

6

3

3

0

0

Will JK Rowling be charged under The Hate Crime and Public Order (Scotland) Act 2021 by the end of 2026?

Apr 1, 5:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.89%chance

172219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2579

732

If Scotland leaves the UK, will they join the EU within 2 years?

Aug 22, 11:06 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

27.85%chance

351732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

917

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

Jun 30, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.57%chance

421635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

955

Will Scotland still be a part of the UK by 2030?

Apr 5, 6:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.68%chance

15716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1226

931

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

May 28, 7:56 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

25%chance

17619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1281

876

Will Scotland allow assisted dying by end of 2025?

Mar 29, 8:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

28.57%chance

4189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

74

Bridge built connecting Ireland to Scotland or England through 2040

Aug 27, 5:26 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.62%chance

6181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

315

102

Which of Catalonia, Scotland, or Quebec will achieve independence first?

Oct 26, 3:50 AMOct 27, 6:59 AM

10150

OptionProbability

Scotland

Catalonia

Quebec

67

16

16

If Scotland leaves the UK, will they join NATO within 2 years?

Oct 16, 12:26 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

59.62%chance

698

OptionVotes

NO

YES

206

191

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