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Prediction markets for Second City
Will Eric Adams win a second term as mayor of New York City?
Oct 10, 2:15 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM
2.43%chance
2410916
OptionVotes
7088
474
Who will finish in 2nd place in the New York City mayoral election? (general election)
Jun 24, 5:32 PMNov 5, 5:32 PM
4910210
OptionProbability
66
15
9
8
1
Will 50,000 United States citizens live in the Gaza strip by Jan 1 2029?
Feb 9, 11:03 PMJan 3, 6:59 AM
8.35%chance
247667
OptionVotes
3314
302
Will Donald Trump send out a stimulus check to all american citizens during his second term?
Nov 22, 5:36 AMJan 30, 4:59 AM
36.52%chance
987590
OptionVotes
1221
794
Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?
Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM
67.6%chance
537244
OptionVotes
1445
692
OptionVotes
2383
88
Who will come Second in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election?
Jun 12, 3:24 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
382532
OptionProbability
64
14
13
8
1
0
How many seconds will Sora take to generate 10 seconds of video?
Feb 17, 5:29 AMOct 2, 6:59 AM
83.87%chance
201604
OptionVotes
1255
897
how many first dates will I go on before I enter into a committted relationship?
Jun 17, 2:24 AMJan 1, 3:13 AM
111260
[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
Nov 2, 12:34 AMJan 2, 5:00 AM
37.13%chance
9234
OptionVotes
156
66
South Korea: Will Gadeok Island New Airport open before 2030?
Apr 23, 1:02 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM
32.59%chance
485
OptionVotes
1063
955
OptionVotes
122
82
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