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Top stories

Japan Stages Trio of WWII Memorials, Survivors Press for Full Accounting

Japan Stages Trio of WWII Memorials, Survivors Press for Full Accounting

Authors

12

5 months ago

China Weighs Additional Russian Gas via Power of Siberia After Exports Jump 28%

China Weighs Additional Russian Gas via Power of Siberia After Exports Jump 28%

Authors

5

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Siberia

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

93132

OptionProbability

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

31

16

15

10

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

What countries will join the UN before 2030

Apr 2, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

302739

OptionProbability

Bougainville

Palestine

Kosovo

Somaliland

Greenland

ROC (Taiwan)

Chechnya (Ichkeriya, Nokhchiicho)

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus

Transnistria

Catalonia

Siberia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Western Sahara

Scotland

41

29

27

22

17

12

12

11

10

10

9

9

9

8

8

Will China take any part of Russian territory for its own within the next 3 years?

Dec 19, 8:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.22%chance

282730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2813

355

What will be the next UN Member state?

Jul 2, 12:54 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

351750

OptionProbability

No new members

Bougainville

Somaliland

Other

Palestine

Western Sahara

Kosovo

Taiwan

Northern Cyprus

Korea

Vatican City

Greenland

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Quebec

Scotland

East African Federation

Siberia

Tatarstan

New Caledonia

Catalonia

Puerto Rico

Abkhazia

Wales

Northern Ireland

South Ossetia

Transnistria

Nagorno-Karabakh

Crimea

Basque Country

Russia

40

23

14

8

5

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Is Russia accelerating the climate crisis?

Feb 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.77%chance

121367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

956

Will the Reindeer, a.k.a. Karibou (Rangifer tarandus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 27, 9:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.61%chance

51242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1382

356

At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?

May 21, 3:39 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

39.52%chance

7372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1237

808

Will Russia cede territory to China by 2040 as predicted by Sarah Paine?

Feb 7, 7:25 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

56.38%chance

8302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1137

880

At any point before the start of 2050, will a country named Siberia (or something similar) be a member of the UN?

May 23, 4:31 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

14.79%chance

12263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

969

Will the Mountain Hare, a.k.a. Snow Hare (Lepus timidus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 29, 9:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.87%chance

4261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

760

403

Will the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline from Russia to China be completed by 2040?

Jan 28, 12:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

23.45%chance

5173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

42

At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?

May 6, 7:27 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

15.87%chance

6171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

43

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