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Siberian News

    Prediction markets for Siberian

    Where will we honeymoon? (Subsidized! Reward for new answers!)

    Sep 5, 8:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    3021547

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Muskogee, Oklahoma

    No honeymoon occurs

    New Zealand

    Portugal

    Costa Rica

    Spain

    Mexico

    Seychelles

    Australia

    Hawaii

    Mauritius

    Iceland

    India

    Staten Island, New York

    The United Kingdom

    The Bahamas

    Sequoia National Park (and surrounding parks)

    France

    Belgium

    California

    Austria

    Å, Lofoten, Norway

    Italy

    Japan

    South Korea

    Thailand

    Brazil

    Ireland

    Trans-Siberian Railway

    Mount Rainier national park

    Greece

    Las Vegas, Nevada

    Amsterdam

    Bali

    Maldives

    Fiji

    Yellowstone National Park

    Nice, France

    Budapest

    Prague

    Banff, Canada

    Phuket

    Chiang Mai

    Samui

    Krabi

    Rovinj, Croatia

    North Korea

    Antarctica

    Sealand

    13

    11

    9

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    Which language families will be widely academically recognized in the field of linguistics, by EOY 2035?

    Apr 3, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    12500

    OptionProbability

    Dene-Yeniseian (language family that includes both Na-Dene and Yeniseian languages)

    Austro-Tai (language family that includes both Austronesian and Kra-Dai languages)

    Italo-Celtic (an IE subfamily that includes both Latin and a Celtic language, but no languages from other major extant IE families)

    Je-Tupi-Carib (language family that includes both Je, Tupi and Carib languages)

    Pontic (language family that includes both Indo-European and Northwest Caucasian languages)

    Paleo-Balkan (an IE subfamily that includes all of: Albanian, Ilyrian, Daco-Thracian, Hellenic, Phrygian. Can also include Armenian, but no languages from other major extant IE families)

    Uralo-Siberian (language family that includes Uralic, Yukaghir and Eskaleut)

    Altaic (or any other language family containing both Turkic, Tungusic and Mongolic languages)

    Indo-Uralic (language family that includes both Indo-European and Uralic languages)

    Proto-World (all known languages in the world are proven to belong to the same macrofamily)

    88

    80

    56

    54

    41

    40

    34

    27

    25

    6

    What was the intermediate host for Covid?

    Mar 8, 4:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    9398

    OptionProbability

    Raccoon Dog

    Masked Palm Civet

    Bamboo Rat

    Hog Badger

    Other

    Pangolin

    No intermediate host (direct infection from bat to human)

    Siberian Weasel

    Malayan Porcupine

    Marmot

    Chinese Muntjac

    Red Fox

    Wild boar

    Asian Badger

    Humanized Mouse

    25

    17

    12

    10

    7

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    At any point before the start of 2050, will a country named Siberia (or something similar) be a member of the UN?

    May 23, 4:31 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM
    14.79%chance
    12263

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1070

    969

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