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Top stories

Venezuela Receives Flights Returning 110 from Texas, 59 from Bolivia, 313 from Mexico, and 184 from U.S. Under Plan Vuelta a la Patria

Venezuela Receives Flights Returning 110 from Texas, 59 from Bolivia, 313 from Mexico, and 184 from U.S. Under Plan Vuelta a la Patria

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Simón Bolívar International Airport

When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven?

Nov 13, 6:57 PMDec 31, 6:50 PM

94615

OptionProbability

Q4 2026

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q3 2026

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

Q1 2028

Q2 2028

Q3 2028

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q4 2025

14

13

11

10

10

10

10

8

8

3

3

1

Will Dulles International Airport be renamed to include Trump by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.83%chance

272450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

967

865

Waymo handles Denver snow?

Sep 6, 1:39 PMApr 1, 1:28 PM

42.12%chance

382113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

853

Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?

Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM

25.55%chance

111632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1707

586

Things named after Trump or named by Trump after America are renamed during the first year of Trump out of office?

Aug 27, 6:58 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

231101

OptionProbability

Trump & Kennedy Center / Kennedy Center

Lake America / Lake Ontario

Gulf of America / Gulf of Mexico

Donald Trump Institute of Peace / US Institute of Peace

Trump Gold Card

Trump accounts

Donald J Trump International Airport / Palm Beach International Airport

Trump-class battleships

89

86

68

54

48

46

41

31

Will there be a Bin Laden International Airport, before 2030?

Sep 11, 5:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.31%chance

12979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

945

Will CBP refuse to process international arrivals at any major US airport in 2026?

May 29, 12:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.78%chance

3400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

714

Will the Dracula Land theme park in Romania open before 2029?

Mar 30, 7:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

1263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

South Korea: Will Gadeok Island New Airport open before 2030?

Apr 23, 1:02 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

28.14%chance

6249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

888

When will I, a transgender woman, visit Hungary?

Apr 13, 6:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5132

OptionProbability

Before 2040

Before 2035

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

76

66

50

46

34

15

PATH station at Newark Airport opens by January 1, 2035

Jan 11, 1:32 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

19.22%chance

2105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

49

PATH station at Newark Airport opens by January 1, 2040

Apr 12, 2:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.37%chance

583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

57

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