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Top stories

Venezuela Receives Flights Returning 110 from Texas, 59 from Bolivia, 313 from Mexico, and 184 from U.S. Under Plan Vuelta a la Patria

Venezuela Receives Flights Returning 110 from Texas, 59 from Bolivia, 313 from Mexico, and 184 from U.S. Under Plan Vuelta a la Patria

Authors

4

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Simón Bolívar International Airport

Will any US state shut down all of its international airports for any length of time by end 2025?

Sep 7, 5:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.21%chance

393689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2958

338

Will Dulles International Airport be renamed to include Trump by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.52%chance

242132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2194

865

Waymo handles Denver snow?

Sep 6, 1:39 PMApr 1, 1:28 PM

34.25%chance

371955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1386

722

Will there be a Bin Laden International Airport, before 2030?

Sep 11, 5:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.31%chance

12979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

945

When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven?

Nov 13, 6:57 PMDec 31, 6:50 PM

4794

OptionProbability

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

Q4 2025

Q4 2026

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

Q1 2028

Q2 2028

Q3 2028

18

13

10

9

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

Will commercial flights resume from any Ukrainian airport by January 1, 2026?

Feb 14, 10:13 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

30.48%chance

13591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

49

Will any EU country shut down all of its international airports for any length of time by end 2025?

Sep 7, 5:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.45%chance

11337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

422

89

South Korea: Will Gadeok Island New Airport open before 2030?

Apr 23, 1:02 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

32.59%chance

485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

955

PATH station at Newark Airport opens by January 1, 2040

Apr 12, 2:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.37%chance

583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

57

PATH station at Newark Airport opens by January 1, 2035

Jan 11, 1:32 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

35.43%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

74

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