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Prediction markets for Solo
How many citations will "Transformers as Approximations of Solomonoff Induction" have at the end of 2030?
May 21, 1:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
614746
OptionProbability
100
63
48
42
42
39
36
OptionProbability
15
8
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?
Apr 18, 3:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
26.05%chance
416652
OptionVotes
1347
834
Which 2025 action anime TV show will have the highest score on AniList?
Aug 23, 3:02 AMFeb 1, 6:59 AM
115436
OptionProbability
52
22
6
6
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
Which 2025 fantasy anime TV show will have the highest score on AniList?
Sep 4, 7:14 AMFeb 1, 6:59 AM
72677
OptionProbability
80
6
3
3
3
2
2
1
OptionVotes
995
10
Will Vladimir Solovyov be the leader of Russia before 2031?
Mar 7, 2:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
11.04%chance
7552
OptionVotes
284
35
Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents?
Jan 22, 12:54 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
56.85%chance
16437
OptionVotes
800
798
Will "The Hunt for Ben Solo" (or substantially similar film) be released before 2030?
Oct 23, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.42%chance
3266
OptionVotes
1266
790
🎤What will happen at the first concert on the moon or in outer space? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 12, 2:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
4217
OptionProbability
74
70
59
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
46
44
42
41
38
34
32
15
OptionProbability
13
13
13
13
13
11
11
11
Is Conjecture 8.4 of "Proximity Gaps for Reed–Solomon Codes" true?
May 29, 6:49 PMJul 20, 4:59 AM
51%chance
37
OptionVotes
71
69


