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Prediction markets for Solo
How many citations will "Transformers as Approximations of Solomonoff Induction" have at the end of 2030?
May 21, 1:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
922712
OptionProbability
100
100
65
42
40
33
26
OptionProbability
15
8
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1497
786
Who will be the first pitcher to throw a solo no-hitter in the 2026 MLB season?
Jan 15, 4:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
122865
OptionProbability
91
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will "The Hunt for Ben Solo" (or substantially similar film) be released before 2030?
Oct 23, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.55%chance
7986
OptionVotes
1966
509
Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents?
Jan 22, 12:54 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
62.48%chance
25947
OptionVotes
1140
739
Will Vladimir Solovyov be the leader of Russia before 2031?
Mar 7, 2:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
15.59%chance
9750
OptionVotes
233
43
🎤What will happen at the first concert on the moon or in outer space? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 12, 2:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
4217
OptionProbability
74
70
59
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
46
44
42
41
38
34
32
15
OptionProbability
44
28
28
OptionProbability
13
13
13
13
13
11
11
11
Is Conjecture 8.4 of "Proximity Gaps for Reed–Solomon Codes" true?
May 29, 6:49 PMJul 20, 4:59 AM
51%chance
37
OptionVotes
71
69


