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Top stories

Putin Briefs BRICS Leaders on Alaska Summit With Trump

Putin Briefs BRICS Leaders on Alaska Summit With Trump

Authors

22

1 year ago

Prediction markets for South African

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16%chance

364112279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2272

996

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.37%chance

11815348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4955

621

Who will be Johannesburg's next Mayor?

Jun 15, 6:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1314743

OptionProbability

Helen Zille

Other

Loyiso Masuku

Frank Chikane

Kenny Kunene

Herman Mashaba

58

17

9

7

5

3

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.61%chance

235041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5459

2563

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.68%chance

133709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6632

3220

Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?

Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

43.43%chance

17833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1335

581

Donald Trump bald before 2027?

Oct 14, 6:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.46%chance

10647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

528

19

Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa?

Aug 1, 8:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.32%chance

14573

OptionVotes

YES

NO

462

137

Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?

Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.89%chance

4230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump personally say* “Rhodesia”?

Feb 3, 3:07 AMJan 6, 12:59 PM

54.6%chance

11200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?

Nov 26, 5:41 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

4151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Who will be the next president of SA?

Oct 27, 3:15 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

43.33%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

87

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