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Prediction markets for South China Sea
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, where it will be dropped first?
Nov 2, 10:52 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
326615
OptionProbability
50
19
13
12
11
11
10
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
4
4
4
4
4
2
OptionVotes
989
909
Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
Dec 25, 1:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29726
OptionProbability
80
67
64
63
60
10
OptionVotes
138
137
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?
Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
70.01%chance
15481
OptionVotes
997
957
OptionVotes
104
61
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?
Mar 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
65.91%chance
16384
OptionVotes
1104
925
If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?
Dec 17, 1:09 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
82.35%chance
7196
OptionVotes
212
65
Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?
Dec 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
38.08%chance
433
OptionVotes
137
90