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Prediction markets for South of Market
U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?
Jun 9, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.9%chance
4039927
OptionVotes
132578
102314
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
Feb 7, 6:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
70.29%chance
1369169
OptionVotes
2143
1888
Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?
Feb 16, 5:48 PMOct 31, 5:48 PM
1%chance
106202
OptionVotes
6202
34
Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election?
Jul 21, 1:51 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM
80%chance
265239
OptionVotes
180
68
Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention?
Feb 15, 5:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
54.32%chance
353569
OptionVotes
1090
917
Will the WA SWIS annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 90 AUD per MWh?
May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM
25.33%chance
53536
OptionVotes
13504
8507
Will WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh?
May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM
27.69%chance
42511
OptionVotes
12479
8876
Will there be scientific consensus that Polynesians made Pre-Columbian contact with South Americans?
May 13, 5:16 AMMay 20, 5:11 AM
44.31%chance
8313
OptionVotes
1121
892
OptionVotes
1110
901
Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?
Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.23%chance
5184
OptionVotes
1046
956
South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?
Nov 26, 5:41 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM
55.22%chance
4151
OptionVotes
1110
901
Will manifold markets be referenced in a South Park episode by EOY2027?
Oct 24, 9:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
17.78%chance
4118
OptionVotes
215
46
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