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Prediction markets for South Sudan
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
OptionProbability
91
90
88
87
84
82
80
78
76
74
74
71
70
67
63
59
55
53
52
52
50
45
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4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which countries will legalize homosexual behavior by 2030( can Add countries)
OptionProbability
93
90
55
50
50
50
45
44
43
37
36
35
31
27
24
22
21
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
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20
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18
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12
10
9
8
Which countries will President Trump say are taking advantage of the USA?
OptionProbability
99
50
50
39
37
35
32
27
27
26
23
16
13
12
11
9
7
2
1
1
Which fully recognized United Nations member country will be the first one to stop existing?
OptionProbability
23
15
7
6
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
What will be the next capital city to be occupied by a foreign military?
OptionProbability
58
9
6
6
4
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which countries will take more than 100,000 Palestinians between 2025 and end of 2026?
OptionProbability
8
7
5
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
What will be the next country to join the Commonwealth of Nations?
OptionProbability
31
30
18
6
6
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1053
914
OptionProbability
29
20
8
8
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
More than 100k Palestinians resettled to south Sudan before 2028?
OptionVotes
209
48
Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Ethiopia in 2026?
OptionProbability
26
23
21
10
10
10
Continuing from Scenerio #3: Which of the will the Sudan's war spillover after South Sudan in 2027?
OptionProbability
21
21
21
21
15




