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Top stories

Richmond Fed Factory Gauge Plunges to –20, Far Below Forecast

Richmond Fed Factory Gauge Plunges to –20, Far Below Forecast

Authors

5

11 days ago

Prediction markets for Southeast

Will the Kouprey (Bos sauveli) become extinct in the current century?

Jun 17, 4:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

98.99%chance

410143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9058

62

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.26%chance

224741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5159

2655

Which states have veto power in the UN Security Council in 2050?

Dec 14, 9:23 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

93527

OptionProbability

France

United States of America

People's Republic of China

Great Britain

Russia

Any East Asian or Southeast Asian state or intergovernmental organization (excluding China)

India

Brazil

Any arabic state or intergovernmental organization

European Union

Any african state or intergovernmental organization

97

95

95

95

92

25

22

19

13

12

10

Which Coaches Are Out In The Southeastern Conference? Coaching Carousel 2025-26

Jun 6, 9:30 PMMar 15, 11:59 PM

52506

OptionProbability

Oklahoma - Brent Venables

Auburn - Hugh Freeze

Arkansas - Sam Pittman

Missouri - Eli Drinkwitz

Kentucky - Mark Stoops

LSU - Brian Kelly

Ole Miss - Lane Kiffin

South Carolina - Shane Beamer

Florida - Billy Napier

Mississippi State - Jeff Lebby

Tennessee - Josh Heupel

Texas - Steve Sarkisian

Vanderbilt - Clark Lea

Texas A&M - Mike Elko

Alabama - Kalen DeBoer

Georgia - Kirby Smart

67

54

52

47

41

41

35

35

17

12

9

9

9

7

5

2

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Sep 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

23.74%chance

241179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1280

886

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13853

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

U.S. Real Estate

Space exploration

Crypto

Nuclear energy

Superconductors

EVs and batteries

Europe

Oil and fossil fuels

Other G7 Real Estate

Everything bubble

India

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Mexico

China

Ukraine

Russia

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

United States

Japan

South America

Southeast Asia

Carbon capture

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

39

13

6

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the Chinese Pangolin (Manis pentadactyla) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 30, 9:21 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.86%chance

6513

OptionVotes

YES

NO

545

375

Will the Ganges River Dolphin (Platanista gangetica) become extinct in the current century?

May 3, 8:37 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.9%chance

3214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

523

329

In what year will ASEAN's combined GDP PPP reach that of the United States?

Jun 9, 1:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1100

Will Taiwan's government recognise a 17th Indigenous group before 2030?

Apr 10, 9:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

70.71%chance

335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

68

Top 10 employers in the Southeast United States?

Aug 19, 9:50 AMAug 19, 9:59 PM

00

Are you from Wenzhou in southeastern China?

May 19, 4:09 AM

210

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