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Top stories

Chinese Foreign Ministry Cites Russian Documents Confirming Japanese Biological Warfare by Unit 731 in Northeast China During WWII

Chinese Foreign Ministry Cites Russian Documents Confirming Japanese Biological Warfare by Unit 731 in Northeast China During WWII

Authors

4

6 months ago

In 2025 Alaska Summit, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov Wears USSR Sweatshirt, Denies Imperialistic Intent

US Foreign Policy

In 2025 Alaska Summit, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov Wears USSR Sweatshirt, Denies Imperialistic Intent

Authors

9

6 months ago

Trump Envoy Kellogg Joins Ukraine Independence Day in Kyiv

US Foreign Policy

Trump Envoy Kellogg Joins Ukraine Independence Day in Kyiv

Authors

3

5 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Putin Honors Soviet WWII Pilots in Alaska After Trump Summit

Authors

25

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Soviet Union

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

93132

OptionProbability

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

31

16

15

10

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

Will the .io ccTLD be deleted from the root by 2050?

Oct 5, 1:11 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

41.53%chance

171205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1187

843

Which country will build the first Military Space Station?

Apr 26, 3:42 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

171122

OptionProbability

Russia

USA

China

No country will do so

77

75

66

30

Will an explosive at least one thousand times more powerful than the Tsar Bomba be developed before 2040?

Mar 17, 1:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.82%chance

11365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

422

153

Will a system similar to Brilliant Pebbles be publicly known to exist in any country by 2040?

Aug 28, 6:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.79%chance

15332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

986

Will a nuclear bomb be used in a terrorist attack before 2035?

Dec 2, 2:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.29%chance

12323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

46

If the Vela incident was a nuclear bomb test, which countries were involved?

Nov 16, 1:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5311

OptionProbability

Israel

South Africa

France

Soviet Union

India

Pakistan

91

85

33

30

10

10

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated in space by 2050?

Apr 24, 1:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.31%chance

11262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

315

108

Will any African countries federate/merge by 2040?

Sep 4, 10:25 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

38.91%chance

8247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

101

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