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Top stories

China, Russia Blast U.S. Typhon Missile Plan in Japan as Beijing Pressures Manila

US Foreign Policy

China, Russia Blast U.S. Typhon Missile Plan in Japan as Beijing Pressures Manila

Authors

6

11 months ago

China Warns Against Taiwan ‘Interference,’ Seeks Stable Ties With U.S.

China Warns Against Taiwan ‘Interference,’ Seeks Stable Ties With U.S.

Authors

4

11 months ago

US Armed Services Chair Wicker Visits Taiwan, Reaffirms Security Ties Amid Chinese Protests

US Foreign Policy

US Armed Services Chair Wicker Visits Taiwan, Reaffirms Security Ties Amid Chinese Protests

Authors

17

11 months ago

UN Report Says Extreme Heat Threatens 2.4 Billion Workers and Global Output

Authors

15

1 year ago

China Condemns Taiwan DPP's Denial of Communist Role in WWII as 'Blasphemy,' Highlights Ma Zhaoxu's Remarks

Authors

6

1 year ago

Taiwan Names Kung Ming-Hsin Economy Minister in Cabinet Shake-Up

Authors

4

1 year ago

Commerce Department Imposes Duties on $2.9 B of Steel Imports

Authors

5

1 year ago

Philippine Coast Guard Ships Harassed by Chinese Vessel 5304 as PLA Conducts 33 Sorties Near Taiwan; Chinese Coast Guard Vessels Enter Kinmen Waters

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Taiwan

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.71%chance

1027576874

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16813

13371

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.53%chance

586179117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7681

4791

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Nov 12, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

67.98%chance

297100302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3025

928

[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.97%chance

6015296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8058

4691

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

Jan 31, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.06%chance

5015102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16060

6227

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

Aug 3, 3:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.86%chance

13414890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2229

1319

Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.8%chance

5012312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3010

1419

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.49%chance

899968

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8768

5599

If China invades Taiwan will the invasion be successful? [No Survivorship Bias]

Feb 24, 12:52 AMJan 1, 12:57 AM

55%chance

488666

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

754

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.18%chance

508624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

935

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

Apr 9, 8:12 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

42.33%chance

946551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3012

955

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

24591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1065

819

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