OptionVotes
NO
YES
2400
927
OptionProbability
None (before 2124)
Other
Kiev
another Ukrainian city besides Kyiv (e.g., Kharkiv, Odessa, or Dnipro)
Delhi
Tehran
New York City
Seoul
Brussels
Tel Aviv
Moscow
Taipei
Beijing
Washington DC
Islamabad
Karachi
46
21
8
6
5
3
2
1
Ben Gvir is elected to Knesset
> 20 new MKs (who never been in the Knesset before)
A party receive more than 3% of the valid votes but does not pass the electoral threshold
Netanyahu is not elected
no coalition is formed
A single list gets more than 30 seats
> 40 women elected
More valid votes in Tel Aviv than in Jerusalem
Bennett becomes PM
98
96
50
41
37
27
14
Does not visit
August 2026
September 2026
October 2026
November 2026
December 2026
76
79
