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Prediction markets for Texas state House

When will Texas "Turn Purple"

Sep 27, 3:49 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

422916

OptionProbability

2030-2034

2025-2029

2035-2039

2050 or later

2045-2049

Before 2025

41

34

13

8

4

1

Will Texas enact new a congressional map during its second 2025 special session?

Aug 15, 4:23 PMSep 5, 10:59 PM

91.21%chance

102346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3222

310

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

83.67%chance

171775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2263

442

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.61%chance

271695

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1348

703

Nicole Collier remains in Texas House chamber without signing permission slip until August 21, 2025

Aug 19, 10:51 PMAug 21, 11:59 PM

23.07%chance

3180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

55

Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?

Aug 14, 1:20 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

62.39%chance

8142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

297

160

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