OptionVotes
YES
NO
5409
185
OptionProbability
VVD will be among the 3 biggest parties
VVD will be among the 4 biggest parties
PVV will get 29 seats or less
50Plus gets at least 1 seat
D66 will be in Top 3 Biggest Parties
At least 1 party leader resigns
D66 leader becomes Prime Minister
No cabinet before municipal election
Housing will be the biggest topic in the campaigns
CDA and PvdA/GL will both join coalition
CDA and JA21 both join the coalition
PvdA/GL and VVD will both join coalition
Coalition unable to be formed, triggers new election
Coalition is formed before 1st of January 2026
New general elections before getting a cabinet
Henri Bontenbal becomes Prime Minister
VVD or BBB will also leave remaining coalition
PVV leader becomes Prime Minister
Schoof remains Prime Minister in new coalition
PVV will become the biggest party
VVD will pick a new party leader
PvdA/GL will have a new name before election day
VVD will be open for coalition with PVV day after election day
Dutch Elections will be delayed (not 29th of Oct)
Schoof will join a party before election day
Timmermans will be replaced before election day
Migration will be the biggest topic again in the campaigns
CDA will be among the 3 biggest parties
A political candidate will be attack (fysical)
Antifa demonstrates before the election in The Hague
CDA will be among the 2 biggest parties
JA21 will be bigger than D66
100
93
52
45
43
35
33
4
3
1
0
177
56
229
44
122
98