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Prediction markets for Tokyo
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
82
82
69
68
67
60
49
49
46
45
42
20
14
10
OptionProbability
100
100
93
83
61
46
45
44
33
32
30
24
20
15
12
6
6
4
4
4
3
3
Which geographical areas will Tomorrow Bio cover at the end of 2026?
Nov 29, 4:48 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM
11310
OptionProbability
90
90
90
90
50
50
50
25
25
25
25
25
25
Will China be stripped of at least three swimming medals from the Tokyo Olympics?
Apr 20, 10:16 AMAug 31, 3:59 PM
25.92%chance
17917
OptionVotes
375
125
Writers' Room: Which of my comedy video ideas will have above-median performance?
Oct 21, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17753
OptionProbability
100
100
100
76
75
71
69
68
66
66
62
59
59
59
58
58
56
55
54
53
53
51
50
50
50
48
46
45
41
37
0
Will Tokyo get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
Apr 19, 1:48 AMJan 1, 7:01 AM
5.63%chance
10717
OptionVotes
580
128
OptionProbability
55
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
46
46
3
Will regularly-scheduled supersonic flights operate between Los Angeles and Tokyo in 2050?
Jun 20, 12:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
46.68%chance
11288
OptionVotes
172
165
Super high speed travel: 90 minutes from NYC to Tokyo before 2047
Jun 12, 9:39 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
15.48%chance
7236
OptionVotes
275
107
OptionProbability
26
22
9
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
Which new cities will be added to Subway Builder by the end of May 2026?
Oct 21, 1:46 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
3120
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
34
34
34
24
17
Will a commercial non-stop flight between Tokyo and Sao Paolo exist before the end of 2030?
Nov 4, 3:09 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
57.89%chance
328
OptionVotes
59
43