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Prediction markets for Turkmenistan
OptionProbability
20
18
9
8
7
7
7
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
98
97
97
96
94
92
90
90
90
87
85
85
83
80
80
80
80
79
78
77
77
76
71
71
66
66
60
60
59
58
58
58
55
55
55
55
54
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
48
47
47
47
46
46
46
45
45
45
44
44
44
43
43
42
41
40
39
38
36
36
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
32
31
31
30
28
28
28
26
26
25
25
25
25
25
24
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
22
22
20
20
20
20
19
18
18
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
10
9
8
8
7
5
5
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which countries will legalize homosexual behavior by 2030( can Add countries)
OptionProbability
93
90
69
59
55
55
45
43
35
31
20
20
20
20
20
20
17
17
16
16
13
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
Which of the following parties will be in office on December 31, 2028?
OptionProbability
97
94
93
83
82
78
69
67
60
55
50
50
47
43
38
38
35
34
32
30
29
28
27
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
OptionProbability
95
79
77
77
72
69
65
64
63
62
59
58
56
51
50
50
49
48
44
42
38
37
36
36
34
33
33
31
29
28
28
26
24
23
23
22
20
20
20
20
17
17
12
11
10
10
10
8
8
8
7
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will a Muslim Majority Country Lose Its Majority Before 2040?
OptionVotes
1305
766
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
OptionVotes
309
184
Which will be the first 'moon flag' to fly on the surface of the Moon?
OptionProbability
24
20
18
14
12
7
5
Will the Darvaza Gas Crater in Turkmenistan stop burning before 2029?
OptionVotes
119
84