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Prediction markets for Uganda
Which countries will legalize homosexual behavior by 2030( can Add countries)
Jun 25, 6:23 PMDec 3, 4:59 AM
327529
OptionProbability
80
80
73
53
50
50
50
50
50
48
45
45
37
35
31
31
27
24
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
18
9
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Mar 12, 4:14 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
495882
OptionProbability
90
79
78
77
75
69
65
64
59
51
51
50
50
50
45
44
43
41
38
37
36
36
35
33
33
31
29
29
28
26
23
23
22
20
20
20
20
20
20
15
15
13
10
10
10
10
8
8
8
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.01%chance
175392
OptionVotes
9916
2845
Which fully recognized United Nations member country will be the first one to stop existing?
May 9, 7:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
854532
OptionProbability
23
9
9
8
8
5
5
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Will Zohran Mamdani be arrested or deported by EOY2025?
Jun 26, 6:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.06%chance
291947
OptionVotes
1446
193
OptionProbability
235
184
What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) in Its Red List in 2050?
Dec 6, 11:11 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
3140
OptionProbability
29
24
14
7
6
6
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.97%chance
5122
OptionVotes
301
187
What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) in Its Red List in 2100?
Dec 6, 11:13 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
2103
OptionProbability
33
9
9
9
8
7
6
5
5
4
2
1
1
1
Will Yoweri Museveni's son succeed him as President of Uganda?
Jan 23, 12:37 AMSep 1, 10:59 PM
51.21%chance
355
OptionVotes
115
103
Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?
Mar 5, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
214
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
13
Continuing from Scenerio #3: Which of the will the Sudan's war spillover after South Sudan in 2027?
Mar 11, 1:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
213
OptionProbability
21
21
21
21
15