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Prediction markets for Vega
Will Manifold have an ad on the Las Vegas Sphere before 2026?
Oct 9, 4:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.78%chance
137948
OptionVotes
5919
169
Will The Boring Company's Vegas Loop have 10+ operational stations before 2030?
Jun 15, 9:35 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
55.3%chance
366749
OptionVotes
1147
817
Will The Boring Company's Vegas Loop have 20+ operational stations before 2030?
Jul 1, 8:12 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
30.88%chance
373911
OptionVotes
974
921
Will Spheres, like the one in Las Vegas, become mainstream and be in more than 5 cities by 2026?
Oct 25, 12:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8.75%chance
483711
OptionVotes
1693
870
Will Las Vegas get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
Apr 19, 1:45 AMJan 1, 7:01 AM
95.94%chance
211806
OptionVotes
1819
889
Will the water level in Lake Mead descend below 895 feet, cutting Las Vegas off from water, by the end of 2030?
Nov 8, 6:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1%chance
81080
OptionVotes
917
8
Will a sequel to "Fallout: New Vegas" be announced by the end of 2026?
Dec 5, 8:04 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
14.74%chance
15954
OptionVotes
1378
900
Will the Oakland A's play a home game in their new stadium in Las Vegas by 2027?
Apr 21, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
26.59%chance
11742
OptionVotes
1096
321
Will Brightline West begin service of a high-speed rail route between Los Angeles and Las Vegas by 2028?
Jul 3, 2:17 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM
32.24%chance
5586
OptionVotes
1450
690
Will there be another UFC event at the Las Vegas Sphere after UFC 306 by 2050?
Sep 5, 9:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
60.37%chance
7388
OptionVotes
1234
810
Will UFC host another event in the MSG Sphere in last Vegas before 2028?
Sep 16, 7:43 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
56.68%chance
2151
OptionVotes
1144
874
Will a baseball stadium be built on the site of the Tropicana Hotel in Las Vegas before December 31, 2030?
Jun 2, 12:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
83.99%chance
599
OptionVotes
185
52
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