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Prediction markets for Wharton
Who will be selected for England’s final 26-man squad for the 2026 World Cup?
Jul 24, 4:32 PMJun 10, 10:59 PM
413017
OptionProbability
86
86
85
83
83
80
76
70
67
67
66
62
62
61
60
60
55
55
55
52
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
48
45
45
44
44
39
39
38
37
34
34
32
28
28
27
27
25
25
22
22
22
22
20
20
19
17
17
17
16
16
15
14
13
13
11
11
11
11
9
9
9
9
8
7
7
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
OptionVotes
1769
512
Will Mr. Donald Trump join Manifold Markets before the end of 2025?
Aug 11, 10:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
1.49%chance
252789
OptionVotes
1893
944
Will Ethan Mollick create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 5:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
26.96%chance
751
OptionVotes
212
145
What number of Am Law 100 firms will have capitulated to Trump by the 2026 midterms?
Apr 4, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
137
OptionProbability
21
15
10
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
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