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Prediction markets for Whiting
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM
54.78%chance
221114189
OptionVotes
1101
909
Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?
Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
9.72%chance
17742411
OptionVotes
7301
1020
OptionVotes
21317
93
Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM
87.47%chance
387402
OptionVotes
2643
378
OptionProbability
58
42
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
54.42%chance
171802
OptionVotes
10297
9614
Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a straight white male?
Mar 19, 12:28 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM
62.29%chance
221560
OptionVotes
1285
778
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?
Mar 31, 9:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
39.95%chance
12848
OptionVotes
1226
816
OptionVotes
1349
741
Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?
Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.14%chance
13614
OptionVotes
206
49
Will there be a non-white Republican Nominee before the end of 2032?
Feb 24, 5:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
27.54%chance
14207
OptionVotes
1061
965
Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus?
Apr 7, 3:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.67%chance
255
OptionVotes
1055
948
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