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Prediction markets for Whiting
Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?
Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
9.85%chance
17541523
OptionVotes
7241
1026
Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?
Jun 2, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.75%chance
9940433
OptionVotes
6771
458
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM
41.71%chance
16032249
OptionVotes
1182
846
OptionVotes
21317
93
Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM
87.05%chance
377352
OptionVotes
2593
386
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
53.96%chance
151698
OptionVotes
10382
9514
Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a straight white male?
Mar 19, 12:28 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM
60.41%chance
221510
OptionVotes
1235
810
Will Trump tear down the white house before the end of his 2nd term?
Oct 24, 9:51 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
4.2%chance
8567
OptionVotes
477
21
Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?
Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.6%chance
12426
OptionVotes
209
48
Will the champions of Super Bowl LX visit the White House after their win?
Feb 24, 2:53 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM
53.68%chance
7409
OptionVotes
1077
929
Will there be a non-white Republican Nominee before the end of 2032?
Feb 24, 5:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
27.54%chance
14207
OptionVotes
1061
965
Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus?
Apr 7, 3:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.67%chance
255
OptionVotes
1055
948
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