YR4 News

Asteroid 2024 YR4, 4% Chance to Hit Moon on December 22, 2032, Threatens Satellites Including Starlink with 100,000 Tons Debris

1 month ago

Will we try to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before 2032-12-22?

Feb 6, 1:54 AMDec 23, 3:59 AM

2%chance

3326540

OptionVotes

YES

7001

143

Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth?

Feb 5, 2:21 AMDec 23, 4:59 AM

1.03%chance

4721404

OptionVotes

YES

9805

102

Will asteroid 2024 YR4 have an estimated 50% chance or greater of hitting Earth by December 31, 2026?

Feb 5, 3:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

0.65%chance

3519114

OptionVotes

YES

12353

Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?

Feb 8, 8:14 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM

3.43%chance

4716486

OptionVotes

YES

5307

188

Is Asteroid 2024-YR4 currently on a trajectory to hit Earth?

Feb 13, 1:50 PMDec 23, 3:59 PM

2.4%chance

3410496

OptionVotes

YES

6375

157

Asteroid 2024‑YR4 Closest Approach Distance in Dec 2032

Feb 20, 3:54 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

498858

OptionProbability

40,000-400,000 km (Transits Inside Moon's Orbit)

more than 400,000 km (Distant)

8500-39,999 km (Transits Medium Earth Orbit)

7500-8499 km (Transits Low Earth Orbit)

6400-7499 km (Graze)

Unknown

<6400 km (Impact)

Will any organisation launch a mission with the aim of adjusting the orbit of asteroid 2024 YR4?

Feb 1, 12:38 AMDec 23, 3:59 PM

2.05%chance

167508

OptionVotes

YES

6905

145

If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?

Feb 5, 1:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.11%chance

243219

OptionVotes

YES

1060

944

Space agency announces mission to divert asteroid 2024 YR4 before 22 Dec 2032

Jan 29, 3:06 AMDec 22, 12:00 AM

1%chance

171966

OptionVotes

YES

995

Will astroid 2024 YR4 hit Earth?

Feb 19, 12:28 AMDec 23, 4:59 AM

2.46%chance

121307

OptionVotes

YES

629

Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 impact the Moon in December of 2032?

Apr 4, 9:32 PMJan 14, 11:59 PM

5.51%chance

8457

OptionVotes

YES

414

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Jun 26, 2025
Jun 26, 2025
Space
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Asteroid 2024 YR4, 4% Chance to Hit Moon on December 22, 2032, Threatens Satellites Including Starlink with 100,000 Tons Debris
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1 month ago

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Will we try to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before 2032-12-22?

Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth?

Will asteroid 2024 YR4 have an estimated 50% chance or greater of hitting Earth by December 31, 2026?

Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?

Is Asteroid 2024-YR4 currently on a trajectory to hit Earth?

Asteroid 2024‑YR4 Closest Approach Distance in Dec 2032

Will any organisation launch a mission with the aim of adjusting the orbit of asteroid 2024 YR4?

If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?

Space agency announces mission to divert asteroid 2024 YR4 before 22 Dec 2032

Will astroid 2024 YR4 hit Earth?

Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 impact the Moon in December of 2032?

Latest stories

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