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Top stories

Trump’s 50% Coffee Tariff Fuels 30% Spike in Arabica Prices

Trump’s 50% Coffee Tariff Fuels 30% Spike in Arabica Prices

Authors

33

1 year ago

Prediction markets for 17

Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)?

Nov 17, 10:44 PMNov 18, 4:59 AM

12.15%chance

367087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2690

372

Will all of the Louvre robbers of Oct 17 turn out to be male?

Oct 19, 5:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.87%chance

332895

OptionVotes

NO

YES

677

15

Does a better packing of 17 squares into a square exist?

Feb 10, 1:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.95%chance

392631

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

913

Total subscriber size of non‑porn AI romance/companionship subreddits on Reddit on Aug 17, 2026

Aug 26, 6:04 AMAug 17, 11:59 PM

72363

OptionProbability

> 500,000

280,001–500,000

180,001–280,000

≤ 180,000

45

33

12

10

Will flight CK206 arrive BEFORE 17:00 UTC?

May 4, 6:14 PMMay 5, 2:00 PM

29%chance

12377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

989

Is the best packing of 17 squares inside a square with the sides of precisely the feigenbaum constant?

Dec 21, 6:57 AMDec 1, 9:59 PM

6.76%chance

8291

OptionVotes

YES

NO

441

75

Placeholder market 17

May 15, 7:35 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

77.21%chance

3221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

54

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on August 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:26 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

21.9%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

53

Will the wsp.kbtu.kz site go down during schedule registration on August 17?

Aug 8, 11:40 AMAug 17, 11:59 PM

80%chance

3126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:27 PMOct 31, 4:00 AM

55.06%chance

479

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

55.96%chance

330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

89

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on September 30, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:26 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

55.84%chance

219

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

Latest stories

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Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Tariffs
Economics
Politics
Trump’s 50% Coffee Tariff Fuels 30% Spike in Arabica Prices
Authors
33
1 year ago

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