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2026 World Championships News

    Prediction markets for 2026 World Championships

    Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

    May 8, 3:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    11941630

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Gukesh D

    Magnus Carlsen

    Fabiano Caruana

    Hikaru Nakamura

    Ian Nepomniachtchi

    Nodirbek Abdusattorov

    Arjun Erigaisi

    Ding Liren

    Wesley So

    Wei Yi

    Viswanathan Anand

    Sergey Karjakin

    Leinier Dominguez Perez

    Praggnanandhaa R

    Anish Giri

    Alireza Firouzja

    Shakhriyar Mamedyarov

    Jan-Krzysztof Duda

    Parham Maghsoodloo

    Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

    Quang Liem Le

    Levon Aronian

    Veselin Topalov

    Teimour Radjabov

    Vidit Santosh Gujrathi

    Vincent Keymer

    Yu Yangyi

    Alexander Grischuk

    Richard Rapport

    Vladislav Artemiev

    Alexey Sarana

    Daniil Dubov

    Wang Hao

    M. Amin Tabatabaei

    N/A (e.g. tournament cancelled)

    74

    25

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

    Apr 14, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    7039486

    OptionProbability

    Javokhir Sindarov

    Gukesh D

    72

    28

    Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

    Dec 12, 1:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    26.51%chance
    6815606

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    3241

    1290

    OptionProbability

    Mercedes

    Redbull racing

    Ferrari

    Mclaren

    Aston Martin

    Audi

    Cadillac

    Williams

    Racing bulls

    Haas

    Alpine

    98

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Chess Prop Bets: 2026 World Chess Championships

    Apr 9, 5:38 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
    204188

    OptionProbability

    Will the venue be in Europe?

    Will any game feature an opening move other than 1. e4 or 1. d4?

    Will White win more games than Black?

    Will the match be decided before Game 14?

    Will a player who loses a game eventually win the match?

    Will there be a streak of 4 or more consecutive draws?

    Will the match be tied (e.g., 1–1 or 2–2) after the first four games?

    Will there be 4 or more decisive (non-draw) games in the classical portion?

    Will any game exceed 100 moves?

    There will be more decisive games than the previous Championship (5)

    Will the match be decided by a margin of 2 or more points in the classical portion?

    Will Magnus Carlsen provide official commentary for at least one game? (Stays on any stream for >= 45 minutes)

    Will Game 1 or Game 2 be a decisive result (not a draw)?

    Will Gukesh win a game immediately following a loss?

    Will it be decided by tiebreaks?

    Gukesh retains his WC title

    Will the match begin before November 1, 2026?

    The "Home Field" Factor: Will the venue be in either India or Uzbekistan?

    100

    84

    68

    66

    65

    64

    62

    53

    44

    43

    41

    37

    37

    35

    34

    31

    1

    0

    Will Gukesh D win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

    Dec 12, 5:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    27.54%chance
    333676

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1644

    625

    OptionProbability

    Above 0

    Above 2

    Above 4

    Above 6

    Above 8

    Above 10

    Above 12

    99

    96

    87

    75

    65

    36

    17

    OptionProbability

    Decided by tiebreaks

    Sindarov +1

    Sindarov +2

    Gukesh +1

    Sindarov +3

    Gukesh +2

    Sindarov +4

    Gukesh +4

    Gukesh +3

    Sindarov +5

    Gukesh +5

    Other

    33

    20

    14

    9

    8

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    Game 1 FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Result?

    Jun 26, 10:39 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
    11261

    OptionProbability

    Draw

    Javokhir Sindarov win

    Gukesh Dommaraju win

    73

    15

    11

    Game 9 FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Result?

    Jul 25, 3:03 PMDec 20, 11:59 PM
    4169

    OptionProbability

    Draw

    Gukesh Dommaraju win

    Javokhir Sindarov win

    No game 9 (match already over)

    48

    25

    25

    2

    Game 8 FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Result?

    Jul 25, 3:02 PMDec 15, 11:59 PM
    110

    OptionProbability

    Draw

    Gukesh Dommaraju win

    Javokhir Sindarov win

    44

    28

    28

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