ACA News
Top stories
Prediction markets for ACA
Which movie will win the Oscar for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Mar 6, 3:28 AMMar 5, 4:59 AM
132764
OptionProbability
60
12
8
5
4
3
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
Will there be a confirmed instance of acausal trade before 2040?
Mar 26, 12:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
72.85%chance
292239
OptionVotes
1643
201
Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?
Jan 12, 12:55 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
6.78%chance
282172
OptionVotes
1983
871
Which movie from 2025 will win the Oscar for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Mar 6, 3:53 AMMar 7, 4:59 AM
51925
OptionProbability
50
12
11
7
6
5
3
2
2
2
0
0
0
Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?
Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
39.36%chance
321716
OptionVotes
1191
841
OptionVotes
1752
717
By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?
Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17.07%chance
26716
OptionVotes
1374
889
Will there be an academic paper written on the total effect of microplastics on human IQ loss by 2026? (in the same way there are papers written on organophosphate pesticides and air pollution on human IQ loss)?
Jan 7, 7:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.98%chance
13533
OptionVotes
1290
481
Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?
Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45.49%chance
21506
OptionVotes
1054
926
Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)
Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM
63.83%chance
23505
OptionVotes
1080
940
Which language families will be widely academically recognized in the field of linguistics, by EOY 2035?
Apr 3, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12499
OptionProbability
88
80
56
54
41
40
32
27
24
6
By 2030, will the academic community lean in favour of insecticide-treated bed nets having net-positive overall impact?
Jan 21, 6:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
88.52%chance
13262
OptionVotes
1169
953
Latest stories
Latest stories