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Prediction markets for Act
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
Mar 5, 4:55 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM
63.29%chance
12762585
OptionVotes
1425
606
Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?
Jan 23, 12:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
4.25%chance
2951670
OptionVotes
50912
3525
OptionProbability
70
29
1
OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030
Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
31.25%chance
5818669
OptionVotes
14461
7017
Will the Supreme Court weaken Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in Louisiana v. Callais?
Oct 17, 7:08 PMOct 17, 11:59 PM
68.85%chance
1710146
OptionVotes
14867
6726
OptionVotes
4882
2686
OptionVotes
1024
977
Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?
Aug 6, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
13.2%chance
153907
OptionVotes
3529
1289
Will the US Government issue a statement criticising the Code of Practice of the EU AI Act in 2025?
May 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:21 PM
67.04%chance
303185
OptionVotes
2582
1615
If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?
Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM
50.46%chance
8375
OptionVotes
1009
991
My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029
Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
57%chance
9301
OptionVotes
1151
869
Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?
Dec 24, 3:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
54.23%chance
4120
OptionVotes
1119
949
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