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Prediction markets for Act
OptionProbability
63
36
1
OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030
Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
34.31%chance
5717669
OptionVotes
13461
7504
Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?
Jan 23, 12:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
20.46%chance
1910420
OptionVotes
17436
7002
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
Mar 5, 4:55 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM
39.14%chance
9610404
OptionVotes
1071
939
Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?
Aug 6, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
13.2%chance
153907
OptionVotes
3529
1289
Will the US Government issue a statement criticising the Code of Practice of the EU AI Act in 2025?
May 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:21 PM
67.04%chance
303185
OptionVotes
2582
1615
Will the University of California consider SAT or ACT scores in admissions by the end of 2026?
Dec 16, 3:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
53.33%chance
72047
OptionVotes
1069
935
If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?
Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM
53.04%chance
7325
OptionVotes
1063
941
My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029
Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
57%chance
9301
OptionVotes
1151
869
Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?
Dec 24, 3:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
54.23%chance
4120
OptionVotes
1089
919
Will the American Boxing Revival Act of 2025 (ABRA) be signed into law by July 4, 2026.
Jul 28, 7:15 PMJul 4, 11:59 PM
52.46%chance
271
OptionVotes
1051
952
Will >50% of total allocated funding to clean energy provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act be gutted by 2028?
Jul 16, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
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