Afghanistan News

1 year ago

What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?

May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM

8819732

OptionProbability

Covid

Russia-Ukraine War

Brexit

Israel-Hamas War

US Withdrawal from Afghanistan

January 6th

LLMs

George Floyd Protests

Bitcoin

The Rise of China

Private Spaceflight

Violent repression of women in Iran

Russia's takeover of the US political establishment

New York v Trump 2024

Tigray War

The Epstein Files

BRICS Expansion

Meme stocks

Enshittification

Will Russia conduct military operations in Afghanistan against ISIS-K before the end of 2026?

Mar 23, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.9%chance

222001

OptionVotes

YES

2838

671

Will the Taliban lose control of Afghanistan before the Jojo's Bizarre Adventure manga ends?

Dec 8, 9:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.69%chance

18912

OptionVotes

YES

1692

700

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

1320

758

Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?

Aug 17, 3:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.42%chance

23749

OptionVotes

YES

1125

788

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?

Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.59%chance

17556

OptionVotes

YES

1081

817

Who will be the next leader of Afghanistan after Hibatullah Akhundzada?

Jul 3, 3:09 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

1508

OptionProbability

Other

Mullah Yaqoob

Sirajuddin Haqqani

Abdul Ghani Baradar

Ashraf Ghani

Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)

Mar 19, 8:33 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

76.62%chance

16398

OptionVotes

YES

1045

963

Bagram Airbase in Afghanistan under US control on November 7. 2028?

Sep 21, 1:52 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

8.41%chance

9263

OptionVotes

YES

330

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43%chance

9157

OptionVotes

YES

115

Will the Taliban control Afghanistan in 2035?

Mar 26, 4:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

6121

OptionVotes

YES

183

Will UNICEF's 2026 Afghanistan appeal finish at least 50% funded?

Aug 26, 4:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 AM

80.49%chance

249

OptionVotes

YES

149

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What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?

Will Russia conduct military operations in Afghanistan against ISIS-K before the end of 2026?

Will the Taliban lose control of Afghanistan before the Jojo's Bizarre Adventure manga ends?

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?

Who will be the next leader of Afghanistan after Hibatullah Akhundzada?

Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)

Bagram Airbase in Afghanistan under US control on November 7. 2028?

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before the end of 2026?

Will the Taliban control Afghanistan in 2035?

Will UNICEF's 2026 Afghanistan appeal finish at least 50% funded?

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