Afghanistan News
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Prediction markets for Afghanistan
OptionProbability
97
96
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96
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91
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90
89
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66
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55
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50
47
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20
17
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9
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5
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
US regain control over Bagram air base in Afghanistan by August 2026?
Sep 19, 6:49 AMAug 30, 11:59 PM
10.27%chance
132111
OptionVotes
2955
338
Will Russia conduct military operations in Afghanistan against ISIS-K before the end of 2026?
Mar 23, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.9%chance
222001
OptionVotes
2838
671
Will the Taliban lose control of Afghanistan before the Jojo's Bizarre Adventure manga ends?
Dec 8, 9:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.69%chance
18912
OptionVotes
1692
700
In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?
Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
36.46%chance
7753
OptionVotes
1320
758
Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?
Aug 17, 3:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
57.42%chance
23749
OptionVotes
1125
788
Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?
Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
62.59%chance
17556
OptionVotes
1081
817
Who will be the next leader of Afghanistan after Hibatullah Akhundzada?
Jul 3, 3:09 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
1508
OptionProbability
66
13
12
8
1
Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)
Mar 19, 8:33 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
76.62%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1045
963
Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 5:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
43%chance
9157
OptionVotes
115
87
OptionVotes
183
92
Bagram Airbase in Afghanistan under US control on November 7. 2028?
Sep 21, 1:52 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM
23.58%chance
7100
OptionVotes
180
56
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