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Prediction markets for Alibaba
Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?
Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM
19544914
OptionProbability
68
23
7
3
If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?
Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8516515
OptionProbability
17
15
15
13
11
10
7
6
5
1
1
OptionProbability
34
30
22
5
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
45
30
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?
Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM
16.06%chance
796524
OptionVotes
6005
1891
Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?
Mar 9, 2:45 AMMar 14, 2:43 AM
11.79%chance
354112
OptionVotes
2735
366
OptionProbability
100
100
65
48
18
17
16
15
14
OptionProbability
58
25
13
1
1
1
0
0
Who will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?
Sep 30, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
292966
OptionProbability
42
19
9
8
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 27, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.48%chance
6125
OptionVotes
217
97
Will Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?
Jan 20, 2:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.22%chance
485
OptionVotes
128
78
Will Alibaba ($BABA) trade higher or lower by the end of 2033, compared to the end of 2023.
Feb 2, 5:13 AMFeb 1, 10:59 PM
231
OptionProbability
58
15
13
13
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