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Prediction markets for Alibaba
Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?
Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM
19947448
OptionProbability
77
15
5
3
OptionProbability
42
37
13
2
2
1
1
1
If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?
Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8516590
OptionProbability
16
16
15
13
11
10
7
5
5
1
1
OptionProbability
74
33
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?
Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM
9.46%chance
809275
OptionVotes
8745
1505
Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?
Mar 9, 2:45 AMMar 14, 2:43 AM
11.79%chance
354112
OptionVotes
2735
366
What AI-related companies will quintuple their value by mid 2027?
Nov 11, 3:08 AMJul 6, 3:59 AM
131144
OptionProbability
84
72
68
44
41
33
26
24
20
20
19
18
18
17
16
16
15
12
12
11
11
10
6
6
5
4
4
4
OptionProbability
82
70
64
42
34
34
31
25
18
Will Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?
Jan 20, 2:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35%chance
6286
OptionVotes
136
73
Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 27, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.48%chance
6125
OptionVotes
217
97
Which LLM Maker will hold the top Safety Score for Spiral-Bench on https://eqbench.com/spiral-bench.html on Jan1, 2027?
Jan 6, 7:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
160
OptionProbability
34
31
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
Will Alibaba ($BABA) trade higher or lower by the end of 2033, compared to the end of 2023.
Feb 2, 5:13 AMFeb 1, 10:59 PM
231
OptionProbability
58
15
13
13
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