Aliens News

Culture

Noah Hawley’s FX Alien: Earth Prequel Premieres With 94% Rating on Hulu and Disney+

6 months ago

When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering?

Nov 23, 6:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 PM

99443812

OptionProbability

[All non-meta options for before 2030 are continuously under 50% for any 4 week period before 2025]

Before January 2040

Before January 2030

Before January 2029

Before January 2028

Before January 2027

By January 2024

By February 2024

By March 2024

By April 2024

By June 2024

Before July 2024

Before January 2025

Before January 2026

[Any month is continuously over 50% for any 6 week period less than one year before it arrives, before January 2026]

[Any month is continuously over 50% for 24 hours because of a relevant news story and resolves NO, before January 2026]

Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?

May 24, 1:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.11%chance

14018007

OptionVotes

YES

2694

1804

Will we discover alien life before 2032?

Jan 9, 1:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9%chance

556336

OptionVotes

YES

1227

947

Will we discover alien life before 2035?

Feb 2, 11:35 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

12.33%chance

445091

OptionVotes

YES

977

969

Will we discover alien life before 2031?

Jan 9, 1:25 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

7.03%chance

374664

OptionVotes

YES

1366

938

Will we discover alien life before 2033?

Jan 12, 7:10 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9.45%chance

424301

OptionVotes

YES

992

976

When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

Sep 20, 2:31 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

434062

OptionVotes

YES

1057

822

P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.48%chance

674020

OptionVotes

YES

1291

509

Will we discover alien life before 2034?

Jan 26, 10:57 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

10%chance

493725

OptionVotes

YES

1194

950

Will we discover alien life before 2036?

Feb 3, 6:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

13.84%chance

231973

OptionVotes

YES

1051

973

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20.54%chance

331116

OptionVotes

YES

1172

939

Conditional on first contact with aliens, will aliens wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jul 27, 5:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.76%chance

11242

OptionVotes

YES

1135

926

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Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
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Culture
Noah Hawley’s FX Alien: Earth Prequel Premieres With 94% Rating on Hulu and Disney+
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6 months ago

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When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering?

Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?

Will we discover alien life before 2032?

Will we discover alien life before 2035?

Will we discover alien life before 2031?

Will we discover alien life before 2033?

When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Will we discover alien life before 2034?

Will we discover alien life before 2036?

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Conditional on first contact with aliens, will aliens wipe out humanity by 2100?

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