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Prediction markets for Aliens
When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering?
Nov 23, 6:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 PM
108449579
OptionProbability
76
10
5
4
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?
May 24, 1:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10%chance
14221056
OptionVotes
3458
1706
OptionVotes
980
943
OptionVotes
1072
963
OptionVotes
1019
657
OptionVotes
1037
776
OptionVotes
1008
782
When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?
Sep 20, 2:31 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
40%chance
454104
OptionVotes
1057
822
OptionVotes
991
951
OptionVotes
1035
736
Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?
Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
20.54%chance
331116
OptionVotes
1172
939
Conditional on first contact with aliens, will aliens wipe out humanity by 2100?
Jul 27, 5:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
31.76%chance
11242
OptionVotes
1135
926
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