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Top stories

FAA Clears Firefly Aerospace to Resume Alpha Launches

Authors

4

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Alpha

If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?

Dec 2, 4:27 AMJan 2, 5:04 AM

88.19%chance

639539

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2732

366

Will the Flexport internal prediction market on freight rates have alpha (as per their CEO)?

Dec 30, 9:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.76%chance

391199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

930

DeepSeek V3.2 wins Alpha Arena Season 1.5

Nov 11, 1:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.21%chance

111124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

753

Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?

Feb 25, 9:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.99%chance

171053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1701

884

Nick Adams (Alpha Male) confirmed as ambassador to Malaysia this year?

Jul 10, 3:51 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

10830

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?

Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

68.18%chance

15472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1092

682

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2075?

Feb 10, 1:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.16%chance

481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

122

Will the generation after generation alpha also be defined by a technological rather than political/cultural change?

Jan 30, 4:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.94%chance

1077

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

170

Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2100?

Feb 10, 1:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.9%chance

667

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

76

If humanity survives this century, what alpha will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1 Jan 2024 (minus one)

Jun 13, 11:45 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.03%chance

00

OptionProbability

NO

YES

250

250

Latest stories

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Space
Science
World
FAA Clears Firefly Aerospace to Resume Alpha Launches
Authors
4
3 months ago

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