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Top stories

FAA Clears Firefly Aerospace to Resume Alpha Launches

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Alpha

If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?

Dec 2, 4:27 AMJan 2, 5:04 AM

81.06%chance

6510347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2069

483

Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026?

Apr 9, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.36%chance

56006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2897

345

Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?

Feb 25, 9:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.99%chance

171053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1701

884

Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?

Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

69.37%chance

16502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

712

If/when humans send a mission to Alpha Centauri, will the subjective time experienced by the craft be more than 20 years?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

63.1%chance

9126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

270

163

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2075?

Feb 10, 1:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.16%chance

481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

122

Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2100?

Feb 10, 1:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.9%chance

667

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

76

Will roko, Grimes, Chelsea Voss, Jose Luis Ricon, Henry Bass, &Danielle Fong all play SMAC (Alpha Centauri) by EOY2030?

Jan 16, 10:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.29%chance

262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

67

Will Elon Musk livestream himself playing Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri with OTHER real people by EOY2030?

Dec 29, 4:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.17%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

When will Ladybird release its first Alpha?

Nov 5, 1:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

220

OptionProbability

H1 2027

H2 2026

H2 2027

H1 2028

H2 2028

2029 or after

39

12

12

12

12

12

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Space
Science
World
FAA Clears Firefly Aerospace to Resume Alpha Launches
Authors
4
1 year ago

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