Alpha News

8 months ago

If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?

Dec 2, 4:27 AMJan 2, 5:04 AM

86.68%chance

649599

OptionVotes

YES

2551

392

Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026?

Apr 9, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.11%chance

32283

OptionVotes

YES

3200

312

Will the Flexport internal prediction market on freight rates have alpha (as per their CEO)?

Dec 30, 9:54 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

80%chance

411356

OptionVotes

YES

1274

898

Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?

Feb 25, 9:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.99%chance

171053

OptionVotes

YES

1701

884

Is Pony Alpha a new GLM model?

Feb 8, 5:45 AMJan 1, 5:44 AM

98.42%chance

5672

OptionVotes

YES

768

Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?

Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

68.18%chance

15472

OptionVotes

YES

1092

682

When will the first human colony be established in Alpha Centauri

Jun 5, 9:48 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

11139

OptionProbability

Other

Never, humans go extinct before colonizing Alpha Centauri.

2100

2075

2050

Not before 2200.

2150

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

YES

1095

913

Will a remastered/modernized version of SMAC (Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri) come out by EOY2027?

Jan 17, 12:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will Aleph Alpha fold by 2028

Mar 23, 2:20 PMJan 16, 10:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

130

111

If humanity survives this century, what alpha will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1 Jan 2024 (minus one)

Jun 13, 11:45 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.03%chance

OptionProbability

YES

250

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Prediction markets for Alpha

Prediction markets for Alpha

Prediction markets for Alpha

If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?

Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026?

Will the Flexport internal prediction market on freight rates have alpha (as per their CEO)?

Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?

Is Pony Alpha a new GLM model?

Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?

When will the first human colony be established in Alpha Centauri

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Will a remastered/modernized version of SMAC (Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri) come out by EOY2027?

Will Aleph Alpha fold by 2028

If humanity survives this century, what alpha will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1 Jan 2024 (minus one)

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