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Top stories

FAA Clears Firefly Aerospace to Resume Alpha Launches

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Alpha

If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?

Dec 2, 4:27 AMJan 2, 5:04 AM

81.06%chance

6510347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2069

483

Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026?

Apr 9, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.01%chance

55901

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3002

333

Will 'Old Vegas' shut down the 51 Alpha prediction markets happy hour?

Aug 27, 3:21 AMSep 30, 3:00 AM

7.86%chance

121503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2429

891

Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?

Feb 25, 9:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.99%chance

171053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1701

884

Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?

Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

69.37%chance

16502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

712

If/when humans send a mission to Alpha Centauri, will the subjective time experienced by the craft be more than 20 years?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

63.1%chance

9126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

270

163

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2075?

Feb 10, 1:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.16%chance

481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

122

Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2100?

Feb 10, 1:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.9%chance

667

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

76

Will roko, Grimes, Chelsea Voss, Jose Luis Ricon, Henry Bass, &Danielle Fong all play SMAC (Alpha Centauri) by EOY2030?

Jan 16, 10:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.29%chance

262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

67

Will Elon Musk livestream himself playing Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri with OTHER real people by EOY2030?

Dec 29, 4:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.17%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Space
Science
World
FAA Clears Firefly Aerospace to Resume Alpha Launches
Authors
4
1 year ago

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