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Prediction markets for Alpha
If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?
Dec 2, 4:27 AMJan 2, 5:04 AM
81.06%chance
6510347
OptionVotes
2069
483
OptionVotes
2897
345
Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?
Feb 25, 9:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.99%chance
171053
OptionVotes
1701
884
Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?
Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
69.37%chance
16502
OptionVotes
1078
712
If/when humans send a mission to Alpha Centauri, will the subjective time experienced by the craft be more than 20 years?
Nov 11, 4:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
63.1%chance
9126
OptionVotes
270
163
Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?
Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM
54.53%chance
4105
OptionVotes
1095
913
Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?
Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM
54.53%chance
2105
OptionVotes
1095
913
Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2075?
Feb 10, 1:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
43.16%chance
481
OptionVotes
137
122
Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2100?
Feb 10, 1:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
71.9%chance
667
OptionVotes
184
76
Will roko, Grimes, Chelsea Voss, Jose Luis Ricon, Henry Bass, &Danielle Fong all play SMAC (Alpha Centauri) by EOY2030?
Jan 16, 10:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
31.29%chance
262
OptionVotes
148
67
Will Elon Musk livestream himself playing Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri with OTHER real people by EOY2030?
Dec 29, 4:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
37.17%chance
130
OptionVotes
130
77
OptionProbability
39
12
12
12
12
12