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Prediction markets for America by Design
Will the US move forward with constructing the "Golden Dome" in 2025?
Jun 22, 1:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
99.59%chance
4825402
OptionVotes
15502
65
OptionVotes
1778
577
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.26%chance
224741
OptionVotes
5159
2655
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
18.31%chance
213007
OptionVotes
1720
738
OptionProbability
84
71
67
57
54
54
52
50
47
46
43
38
29
25
24
21
9
Will any new MTG judge promos come out by the end of 2025?
Jan 22, 9:18 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
17.5%chance
4143
OptionVotes
189
48
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