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FBI Redacts Trump’s Name From Epstein Files, Bloomberg Says
Authors
17
23 hours ago
Prediction markets for Americans
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
85.09%chance
494196005
OptionVotes
5011
1123
In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
Feb 20, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
93.41%chance
46499575
OptionVotes
9123
908
What % of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem before 2026?
Dec 5, 2:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
187861
OptionProbability
24
21
17
12
10
9
6
Will Donald Trump send out a stimulus check to all american citizens during his second term?
Nov 22, 5:36 AMJan 30, 4:59 AM
31.67%chance
977360
OptionVotes
1151
929
By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?
Dec 21, 4:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.88%chance
766325
OptionVotes
3054
1067
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
50.5%chance
442809
OptionVotes
1066
868
In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?
Sep 16, 4:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
63.14%chance
381771
OptionVotes
1344
716
Will there be a Wikipedia article about a "Euro-American split" by the end of 2028
Mar 6, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
41.28%chance
101033
OptionVotes
3510
2773
Will 60% of Americans approve abortion "for any reason" before 2030?
Nov 12, 7:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
37.68%chance
181002
OptionVotes
1489
351
In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
Mar 17, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25.66%chance
20926
OptionVotes
1257
881
Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?
Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM
15.65%chance
8466
OptionVotes
226
119
Will the winner of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination contest in American Samoa win any other contest?
Mar 7, 5:55 AMApr 1, 4:59 AM
53.55%chance
8278
OptionVotes
1273
953