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Prediction markets for Antarctic
Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon?
Jan 23, 10:17 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
62.5%chance
362837
OptionVotes
1018
876
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
Aug 9, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22.63%chance
412228
OptionVotes
1281
881
Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?
Apr 7, 9:12 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
14.16%chance
301266
OptionVotes
1328
1049
Will a war break out between two or more countries over control of Antarctic land or resources by 2027?
Dec 16, 2:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
8.14%chance
14756
OptionVotes
1532
905
OptionVotes
1031
969
When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?
Jul 30, 12:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
25.19%chance
4296
OptionVotes
529
91
Will the Antarctic Snow Cruiser be found again by the end of 2028?
Sep 7, 4:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.09%chance
8215
OptionVotes
247
40
Will Russia make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?
Sep 11, 6:18 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
22.81%chance
14212
OptionVotes
1103
952
When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?
Jul 30, 12:14 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
4167
OptionProbability
45
17
11
11
6
5
5
A new species of penguin will be discovered in the Antarctic region by 2030
Jul 21, 10:23 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM
7.27%chance
4161
OptionVotes
257
72
Minimum Antarctic sea ice extent this century? (in square kilometers)
Apr 9, 7:39 PMJan 1, 6:01 AM
85.17%chance
522
OptionProbability
343
238
Will oil be drilled for in the field of the Antarctic Weddell Sea region before 2030?
Jul 13, 5:43 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000