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Top stories

Anthropic Debuts Claude for Chrome as Report Warns of AI-Driven Extortion

Anthropic Debuts Claude for Chrome as Report Warns of AI-Driven Extortion

Authors

69

5 months ago

Anthropic and U.S. DOE’s NNSA Develop Classifier with 96% Accuracy to Filter CBRN Weapons Info and Prevent Chatbot Nuclear Weapon Instructions

Anthropic and U.S. DOE’s NNSA Develop Classifier with 96% Accuracy to Filter CBRN Weapons Info and Prevent Chatbot Nuclear Weapon Instructions

Authors

3

6 months ago

Sapient’s 27-Million-Parameter AI Surpasses ChatGPT in Key Reasoning Test

Sapient’s 27-Million-Parameter AI Surpasses ChatGPT in Key Reasoning Test

Authors

16

5 months ago

Prefect Launches FastMCP Cloud, Promising One-Minute MCP Server Deployment

Authors

4

5 months ago

Musk’s Grok Tops 6 Million Followers on X, Leads AI Rivals

Authors

3

6 months ago

Paradigm Raises $5 Million, Launches AI-Powered Spreadsheet to Public

Authors

13

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Anthropic

When will Anthropic IPO?

Jul 29, 5:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

73170145

OptionProbability

2026 Q4

2026 Q3

2027 Q1

2026 Q2

2027 Q2

2029 or later or not at all

2027 Q3

2028

2026 Q1

2027 Q4

2025 Q4

2025 Q3

22

19

16

9

8

7

5

5

4

4

1

0

Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date

Jul 25, 6:37 PMJun 30, 6:35 PM

193165717

OptionProbability

Before 2026-06-01

Before 2026-07-01

Before 2026-08-01

Before 2026-09-01

Before 2026-05-01

Before 2026-04-01

Before 2026-03-01

Before 2026-02-15

Before 2026-02-08

Before 2026-02-06

Before 2026-02-05

Before August 2025

Before September 2025

Before October 2025

Before November 2025

Before December 2025

Before January 2026

Before February 2026

Before 2026-02-04

98

98

98

98

95

94

92

82

38

29

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

Dec 20, 2:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.06%chance

153117637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1938

517

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

3727127

OptionProbability

Other

$90-100B

$80-90B

$100-110B

$110-120B

$60-70B

$70-80B

$120-130B

$130-140B

$50-60B

$40-50B

<$40B

16

13

11

10

9

8

8

7

7

5

3

2

Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?

Dec 3, 12:54 AMDec 3, 12:54 AM

13227099

OptionProbability

xAI

Anthropic

OpenAI

69

16

15

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2028?

Sep 5, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.95%chance

7623524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13652

7335

Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?

Jan 4, 5:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

6612698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2828

1510

Will Anthropic release an image generation model in 2026?

Jan 27, 11:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

477878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

963

Will Anthropic IPO before 2030?

Mar 6, 12:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.44%chance

302831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2383

214

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.92%chance

162001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11684

8683

Will Anthropic deploy ads on Claude before 2030?

Feb 4, 3:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.09%chance

161596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2498

1659

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2027?

Dec 4, 5:18 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32.33%chance

26804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

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