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Top stories

Perplexity AI Launches $200-a-Month Max Plan for Power Users

Company Earnings

Perplexity AI Launches $200-a-Month Max Plan for Power Users

Authors

11

10 days ago

Google Launches Free Open-Source Gemini CLI for Developer Terminals

Google Launches Free Open-Source Gemini CLI for Developer Terminals

Authors

72

1 month ago

Google DeepMind Unveils Gemini ‘Deep Think’ AI for $250 Ultra Users

Google DeepMind Unveils Gemini ‘Deep Think’ AI for $250 Ultra Users

Authors

38

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Anthropic

Will Senator Scott Wiener be employed by an AI company like Anthropic within the next 12 months?

Aug 17, 11:50 PMAug 25, 6:59 AM

2%chance

52192987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7000

143

What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025?

Dec 5, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4070676

OptionProbability

>$25B

$20.1-25B

$17.6-20B

$15.1-17.5B

<$5B

$5-10B

$10.1-12.5B

$12.6-15B

84

7

3

2

1

1

1

1

When will Anthropic IPO?

Jul 29, 5:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

1222222

Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:55 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

25.41%chance

3412468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17142

5816

A major tech company, besides Anthropic, reports at least 98% of its code is AI-generated before April 1, 2026

Mar 11, 2:59 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

16.16%chance

356288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2278

439

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Jun 21, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30.77%chance

394586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1500

667

Anthropic's Project Vend profitable by EOY 2025?

Jun 28, 4:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.7%chance

443626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1372

729

Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least a year as a result of safety evaluations?

Mar 7, 1:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.51%chance

291797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

986

985

Will a OpenAI, Anthropic, Google or Meta release an AI chatbot that has ads in the responses in 2025?

Dec 13, 8:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.33%chance

161266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

839

If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?

Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.35%chance

61165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

911

Will Anthropic lose the Authors’ Copyright Class Action Lawsuit by end of 2026?

Jul 26, 1:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

131121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2168

802

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.22%chance

21624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

754

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