Anxiety News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Anxiety
U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?
Jun 9, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.9%chance
4039927
OptionVotes
132578
102314
Will 1% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035
Jul 6, 12:09 AMJun 15, 11:59 PM
49.09%chance
75545
OptionVotes
1018
982
Will Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?
Jan 22, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.62%chance
204716
OptionVotes
1322
756
Will 10% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035
Jul 5, 6:08 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
18.73%chance
154146
OptionVotes
2083
480
Diagnosis Market for the cause of my Erectile Dysfunction [SUBSIDIZED]
Jan 4, 2:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
182463
OptionProbability
55
45
36
29
28
28
28
28
28
26
26
26
25
24
23
21
21
21
21
18
[5k Subsidy] Which diseases will be eliminated first in the USA? 1st solved 100%, 2nd 95%, 3rd 90%, etc. until mid 2036
Feb 25, 10:07 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
422377
OptionProbability
67
52
49
37
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
34
34
34
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
31
31
31
31
30
29
27
27
27
27
26
25
15
Will the nutritional mix for baby formula turn out to be relatively harmful compared to foods that could have have been assembled at home with ingredients that can be commonly found in an American ?
May 20, 1:20 PMMay 28, 3:59 AM
12.4%chance
15578
OptionVotes
1442
826
OptionVotes
1062
942
Will "Social Anxiety Isn’t About Being Liked" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 20, 11:13 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
11.16%chance
1250
OptionVotes
1250
964
Will the sex difference in the general factor of anxiety be of the same magnitude as the sex difference in anxiety?
Mar 25, 8:59 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
73.72%chance
12240
OptionVotes
1081
955
Researchers become more convinced that allopregnanolone is an important regulator of brain anxiety states (at least as important as serotonin)
Mar 8, 9:39 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM
53.75%chance
7152
OptionVotes
160
111
In 2030, what will consensus say is the primary cause of the increase in gender dysphoria over the past few decades?
Aug 19, 11:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
13142
OptionProbability
47
37
10
6