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Apollo 13 News

    Prediction markets for Apollo 13

    OptionProbability

    safely returns to Earth

    Will attempt to say something momentous

    Had been into space as of 2023

    Right handed

    Is a pilot (but not necessarily for the mission)

    Have child/ren

    military or ex military background

    Isn't white

    Chinese Citizen

    Is the mission commander

    Have a PhD

    Male

    Will step out with their right foot first

    Have 2+ bachelors degrees

    video recording is available of them falling over on the lunar surface (within 1 year of moonwalk)

    Will attempt to say something momentous, and it's generally considered not to have been momentous 12 months after landing

    Will attempt to say something momentous, and it's generally considered so 12 months after landing

    Will be recorded (e.g. interview, podcast transcript) dissing moon landing hoaxers, either before or within 12 months of moonwalk

    Will have a nickname that doesn't directly derive from their real name (eg Buzz)

    Is 68 inches or taller

    is 50 years old or older (at time of moonwalk)

    Born in a state that majority voted for Trump in 2024 election

    Films a tiktok (or similar short format film) on the lunar surface featuring at least some dancing (inside the lander counts) (video is available within 1 year of moonwalk)

    American citizen

    First moon-words will be a joke (e.g. "oh, did I leave the oven on?" or "hey i can see my house from up here!" or even "oh wow there's an alien life form waving at me!")

    No tertiary qualification (honorary degrees don't count)

    Will not be a single person; two or more people will take the first step (almost) simultaneously

    Christian

    Expressed doubt on whether the Apollo landings happened (digging up an embarrassing tweet from when they were 13 counts)

    bald

    has some kind of neural implant

    is 30 years old or younger (at time of moonwalk)

    Will be recorded attempting a backflip on the lunar surface (video is available within 1 year of moonwalk)

    Ginger

    Is transgender

    94

    88

    82

    79

    76

    72

    72

    67

    66

    66

    57

    50

    50

    46

    45

    40

    39

    39

    38

    37

    35

    35

    34

    32

    31

    27

    25

    25

    20

    16

    15

    12

    10

    9

    1

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    144

    70

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    323

    192

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