Arc News

Circle Reports Q2 Revenue Up 53% to $658 Million, 90% USDC Growth, Net Loss $482M, Unveils Arc Blockchain with USDC Gas Token

4 months ago

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize (v1, 2024 dataset) be claimed by end of 2025?

Jun 11, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.05%chance

294872977

OptionVotes

YES

58819

2107

By when will 85% be reached on the public evaluation set on ARC-AGI-Pub?

Jun 29, 4:35 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

6763832

OptionProbability

01/01/2030

01/01/2028

01/01/2026

01/01/2025

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2026?

Oct 11, 6:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1%chance

8050681

OptionVotes

YES

3404

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?

Oct 4, 11:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59%chance

6814111

OptionVotes

YES

1943

AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028

Apr 5, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.23%chance

6012000

OptionVotes

YES

1396

729

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

Sep 16, 7:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.08%chance

418758

OptionVotes

YES

1177

850

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?

Oct 1, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.67%chance

396500

OptionVotes

YES

1617

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?

Jun 11, 7:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.15%chance

314290

OptionVotes

YES

1358

736

SBF Redemption Arc

Nov 11, 11:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.94%chance

241663

OptionVotes

YES

1291

915

Will the Elbaf arc have a higher peak worldwide Google Trends search interest than any previous One Piece arc?

Nov 1, 5:49 PMJan 1, 1:00 PM

48.98%chance

4550

OptionVotes

YES

1021

980

Will "Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4o" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 17, 9:24 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.52%chance

3425

OptionVotes

YES

1117

982

Will "Obstacles in ARC's agenda: Finding explanations" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 18, 6:40 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

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Aug 12, 2025
Aug 12, 2025
Company Earnings
Blockchains
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Circle Reports Q2 Revenue Up 53% to $658 Million, 90% USDC Growth, Net Loss $482M, Unveils Arc Blockchain with USDC Gas Token
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4 months ago

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Will the ARC-AGI grand prize (v1, 2024 dataset) be claimed by end of 2025?

By when will 85% be reached on the public evaluation set on ARC-AGI-Pub?

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2026?

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?

AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?

SBF Redemption Arc

Will the Elbaf arc have a higher peak worldwide Google Trends search interest than any previous One Piece arc?

Will "Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4o" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will "Obstacles in ARC's agenda: Finding explanations" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram