Arming the Guard News
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Prediction markets for Arming the Guard
Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2025?
Apr 15, 9:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.08%chance
6298
OptionVotes
362
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?
Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
88.77%chance
6265
OptionVotes
251
33
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
27.57%chance
11239
OptionVotes
169
76
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
47.7%chance
8200
OptionVotes
113
105
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
19.84%chance
6154
OptionVotes
220
55
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.17%chance
5140
OptionVotes
156
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
78.05%chance
4129
OptionVotes
193
67
OptionProbability
68
66
64
39
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?
Oct 24, 7:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
16.78%chance
6106
OptionVotes
210
72
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
40.24%chance
790
OptionVotes
94
85
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