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Top stories

Rocket Lab Hits 70 Launches, SpaceX Cargo Reaches ISS, Starship Retry Slated Tonight

Rocket Lab Hits 70 Launches, SpaceX Cargo Reaches ISS, Starship Retry Slated Tonight

Authors

110

10 months ago

NASA Narrows Artemis II Moon Mascot Contest to 25 Finalists

NASA Narrows Artemis II Moon Mascot Contest to 25 Finalists

Authors

4

10 months ago

NASA Chooses Three Canadian Teams Among Top 25 Finalists From Over 2,600 Submissions to Design Artemis II Moon Mascot Zero Gravity Indicator

NASA Chooses Three Canadian Teams Among Top 25 Finalists From Over 2,600 Submissions to Design Artemis II Moon Mascot Zero Gravity Indicator

Authors

3

10 months ago

China Leaps Ahead in Lunar Race With Rocket and Lander Tests

Authors

8

10 months ago

National Aviation Day 2025 Marks Orville Wright’s Birthday, NASA X-59, $12.5B FAA ATC Modernization, and Long Beach Airport Grant

Authors

21

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Artemis

Will SLS be used for Artemis 3 as planned?

Nov 16, 8:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28%chance

6112114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1680

366

Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?

Oct 28, 6:09 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

2.12%chance

2611065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6712

100

Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?

Sep 13, 9:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.06%chance

359188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6735

597

The Artemis mission will not take any human being to the moon in 2026

Mar 11, 4:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

98.58%chance

226840

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6977

716

Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3?

Feb 19, 5:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5%chance

286297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4393

241

Will NASA's Artemis 3 mission be successful?

Dec 10, 7:12 AMDec 17, 10:59 AM

80%chance

181489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

601

101

What milestones will Artemis 3 achieve?

Jun 9, 9:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

161274

OptionProbability

Safe return of all crew

Launch by EoY 2028

Docking with Blue Moon

Crew Ingress to Starship or Blue Moon

Docking with Starship

Launch by EoY 2027

90

81

69

65

57

25

Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?

Jan 18, 10:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.36%chance

211225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1490

580

Artemis 3 Multichoice

Jun 20, 4:35 AMJun 27, 4:26 AM

141142

OptionProbability

Artemis 3 doesn't involve lunar landing

Artemis 3 uses Blue Moon HLS

Artemis 3 cancelled

Artemis 3 uses Starship HLS

98

1

1

0

Will SpaceX's Artemis refuelling launches have a 100% landing success rate?

Mar 25, 8:19 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

62.69%chance

22956

OptionVotes

NO

YES

275

171

When will the distance record for furthest human from Earth set by Artemis II be exceeded?

Apr 6, 5:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6320

OptionProbability

Before 2044

Before 2042

Before 2040

Before 2038

Before 2036

Before 2034

Before 2032

Before 2030

Before 2028

89

81

72

65

56

44

36

17

2

Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon?

May 19, 3:25 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

49.64%chance

462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

90

88

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