Assistant News

Google Plans 2K Nest Camera Refresh and ‘Google Home Premium’ Service

3 months ago

If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?

Aug 20, 11:16 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

74129111

OptionProbability

The U.S. keeps supporting Ukraine and there's no ceasefire

The U.S. keeps supporting Ukraine and there's a ceasefire

The U.S. stops supporting Ukraine and there's a ceasefire

The U.S. stops supporting Ukraine and there's no ceasefire

By the end of 2025, will any AI beat Pokemon Emerald Version without human assistance?

Jan 15, 9:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.74%chance

8310007

OptionVotes

YES

2971

186

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Jan 8, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

55%chance

352427

OptionVotes

YES

1025

966

Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2035?

Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

27.78%chance

52305

OptionVotes

YES

1612

620

Will the majority of mathematicians rely on formal computer proof assistants before the end of 2040?

Jan 13, 12:20 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60%chance

321333

OptionVotes

YES

1021

951

Frontier science theorem discovery fully formalized in proof assistant before 2028?

May 23, 6:26 AMDec 31, 9:44 AM

22.82%chance

111221

OptionVotes

YES

1842

547

Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?

Feb 3, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

80.17%chance

32954

OptionVotes

YES

1302

883

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users by end-2025?

Sep 23, 2:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.01%chance

14920

OptionVotes

YES

1492

670

Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2035?

Aug 3, 3:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

43.83%chance

5256

OptionVotes

YES

1132

883

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Sep 23, 2:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.09%chance

3152

OptionVotes

YES

1043

959

Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2045?

Aug 3, 3:38 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1048

954

Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045?

Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

50.24%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1005

995

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If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?

By the end of 2025, will any AI beat Pokemon Emerald Version without human assistance?

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2035?

Will the majority of mathematicians rely on formal computer proof assistants before the end of 2040?

Frontier science theorem discovery fully formalized in proof assistant before 2028?

Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users by end-2025?

Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2035?

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Will assisted suicide become legal in Arizona before 2045?

Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045?

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