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Top stories

Ohio Man Charged After Sex Toy Hits Girl at Liberty Game

Ohio Man Charged After Sex Toy Hits Girl at Liberty Game

Authors

5

10 months ago

Patriots Rookies Henderson, Chism Lift New England Over Vikings 20-12

Patriots Rookies Henderson, Chism Lift New England Over Vikings 20-12

Authors

33

10 months ago

Browns Elevate Rookie Dillon Gabriel to Backup QB; Shedeur Sanders Falls to No. 3

Browns Elevate Rookie Dillon Gabriel to Backup QB; Shedeur Sanders Falls to No. 3

Authors

16

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Aug

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

Aug 13, 1:00 PMAug 13, 10:59 PM

15.85%chance

20537906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7643

1334

Ashwin returns to US by Aug 19th 2026?

Aug 20, 3:47 AMAug 19, 11:59 PM

70%chance

82777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Will Apple start making a new iPhone mini before 7th Aug 2028?

Aug 7, 2:43 PMAug 7, 10:59 PM

21.97%chance

181196

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

481

Dwarkesh's mystery guest revealed by Aug 21, 2026?

Aug 30, 2:15 AMAug 21, 11:59 PM

4.71%chance

14900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

450

22

Will Iran's food stockpile run out before Aug 2, 2026?

May 2, 1:12 AMAug 2, 1:12 AM

3.9%chance

11473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

497

20

Will the NASDAQ crash before Aug 30, 2026?

Jun 8, 4:33 AMAug 29, 11:59 PM

23.86%chance

11458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

56

Total subscriber size of non‑porn AI romance/companionship subreddits on Reddit on Aug 17, 2026

Aug 26, 6:04 AMAug 17, 11:59 PM

5384

OptionProbability

> 500,000

180,001–280,000

280,001–500,000

≤ 180,000

35

25

25

15

Will the DC Circuit rule for Anthropic on the merits in the Pentagon supply chain case by Aug 31, 2026?

Apr 16, 5:41 PMSep 1, 10:00 PM

49.22%chance

10230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

56

My manifold networth by Aug '26? [2]

Dec 8, 9:04 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

3217

OptionProbability

Above 16,000

Above 32,000

Above 64,000

Above 128,000

63

40

14

5

If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, through which country will it happen?

Jul 8, 10:15 AMAug 26, 2:59 AM

6167

OptionProbability

Other country, unlisted here by the time the first suspect case arises

Venezuela

Other

Haiti

Brazil

Dominican Republic

Peru

Argentina

Bahamas

Ecuador

Panama

Suriname

35

32

26

6

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by Aug 2, 2026?

May 12, 10:15 AMAug 2, 10:00 PM

51.03%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

62

By Aug 26, 2026 (8/26/26), will I refer at least one person to a rehab ministry? (I'm an evangelist.)

Jun 18, 10:01 PMAug 25, 11:59 PM

59.24%chance

323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

92

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