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Australopithecus News

    Prediction markets for Australopithecus

    Greatest Inventor of All-Time

    May 14, 6:00 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    171596

    OptionProbability

    Alan Turing

    Tuk Tuk (first person to make & use fire)

    Louis Pasteur

    Leonardo DaVinci

    Charles Babbage

    Oowoo (first Australopithecus to create Lomekwian stone tools, ~3.3Mya)

    Awa (first upper-paleolithic human to record animal birth cycle months with tally dots on cave paintings aka the first proto-writing, ~42kya)

    Nikola Tesla

    Thomas Edison

    Johannes Gutenberg

    Marie Curie

    Ann Tsukamoto (stem cell isolation)

    Charles Goodyear

    Steve Jobs

    Hedy Lamarr

    Ernst Gräfenberg

    John S. Pemberton

    75

    72

    64

    59

    50

    50

    50

    49

    46

    41

    41

    41

    31

    28

    27

    15

    15

    OptionProbability

    ≥1 bones (like Denisova 4, Homo denisova, ~60kya)

    ≥2 bones (like Xiahe mandible, Homo denisova, ~160kya)

    ≥20 bones (enough for ~complete skull, like La Ferrassie 1, Homo neanderthalensis, ~50kya)

    No more fossils found

    ≥40 bones (like AL 288-1 / Lucy / Dinkʼinesh, Australopithecus afarensis, ~3.2Mya)

    ≥100 bones (like KNM-WT 15000 / Turkana Boy / Nariokotome Boy, Homo erectus, ~1.5Mya)

    ≥200 bones (~complete skeleton, like Barum Woman / Bäckaskogskvinna, Homo sapiens, ~9kya)

    ≥200 bones plus preserved soft tissues (mummified body, like Ötzi / The Iceman, Homo sapiens, ~5.2kya)

    71

    41

    34

    31

    31

    27

    20

    19

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