AWS News

Aptos Labs and Jump Crypto Launch Shelby, Decentralized Cloud-Grade Hot Storage on Aptos for Streaming, AI, DePIN with Testnet in Q4 2025

1 month ago

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.33%chance

11317915

OptionVotes

YES

14461

8011

Which phone brand will win MKBHD's Phone of the Year Award 2025?

Feb 7, 12:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

149284

OptionProbability

Google

Samsung

Apple

Oneplus

Vivo

Other

Xiaomi

Oppo

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

31.82%chance

296204

OptionVotes

YES

14631

6838

Will 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months?

Sep 2, 2:49 PMSep 10, 2:59 AM

10.39%chance

374575

OptionVotes

YES

2936

341

WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036

Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

35.27%chance

23550

OptionVotes

YES

13548

7381

Which of the following will be sold off before parent company reaches 10T?

Jan 17, 8:45 PMFeb 25, 5:59 AM

473191

OptionProbability

Starlink

Microsoft Teams

Google ads

Tesla Robotics (embodied ai)

AWS

Reality labs

Apple App store

Omniverse

Which episode of Black Mirror is the next 25 years most likely to resemble?

Aug 18, 5:50 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

332036

OptionProbability

Metalhead

Joan is Awful

Other

Hated in the Nation

USS Callister

Fifteen Million Merits

San Junipero

The Waldo Moment

White Christmas

Hang the DJ

Nosedive

The Entire History of You

Shut up and Dance

The National Anthem

Archange

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

291794

OptionVotes

YES

2090

1821

Will AWS remain the market share leader in cloud infrastructure services by Q4 2025?

Mar 22, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.79%chance

141197

OptionVotes

YES

1891

832

Why will "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" resolve N/A?

Mar 25, 2:57 AMMar 28, 3:59 AM

15708

OptionProbability

It will not resolve N/A

As a demonstration of treacherous turns, trolling, or lulz

No reason given after 30 days

Some other reason

Too many existing humans suffer death

Too many existing humans suffer other awful fates

80% of currently attainable cosmopolitan value becomes unattainable

The concept of "maximum attainable cosmopolitan value" is not meaningful

AWS or Microsoft release own frontier AI model?

May 7, 5:01 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

74.99%chance

6115

OptionVotes

YES

173

Will AWS have an operating margin >= 30% for 2028?

Oct 18, 1:33 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

120

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Jun 26, 2025
Jun 26, 2025
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Aptos Labs and Jump Crypto Launch Shelby, Decentralized Cloud-Grade Hot Storage on Aptos for Streaming, AI, DePIN with Testnet in Q4 2025
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Prediction markets for AWS

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Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Which phone brand will win MKBHD's Phone of the Year Award 2025?

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Will 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months?

WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036

Which of the following will be sold off before parent company reaches 10T?

Which episode of Black Mirror is the next 25 years most likely to resemble?

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Will AWS remain the market share leader in cloud infrastructure services by Q4 2025?

Why will "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" resolve N/A?

AWS or Microsoft release own frontier AI model?

Will AWS have an operating margin >= 30% for 2028?

Latest stories

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