Baltic News

Eagle S Crew Faces Finnish Trial Over Baltic Cable Cuts

10 months ago

India

Tariffs

Economics

India to Lift Russian Oil Imports Despite New 50% U.S. Tariffs

10 months ago

Latvia

War

Politics

Von der Leyen Starts Baltic Tour, Calls Putin ‘Predator’ Over Hybrid Threats

10 months ago

Europe

War

Politics

European, Nordic and Baltic Leaders Vow Stronger Sanctions, Ceasefire, Security Guarantees, and Support for Ukraine

10 months ago

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Nov 6, 4:14 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

17.86%chance

8447650

OptionVotes

YES

13082

6312

Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?

Jan 21, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.04%chance

8824297

OptionVotes

YES

1090

1073

Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?

Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.71%chance

6518420

OptionVotes

YES

2961

891

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

44.05%chance

589686

OptionVotes

YES

1127

887

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

May 21, 10:38 AMJul 1, 8:59 PM

11.12%chance

235262

OptionVotes

YES

2144

735

Will Rail Baltica be completed by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 8:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1%chance

135065

OptionVotes

YES

5384

829

Air Baltic defaults on 2024 14.5% EUR bond before August 14, 2029?

Apr 22, 8:31 PMAug 13, 11:59 PM

55%chance

153963

OptionVotes

YES

1106

905

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?

Feb 26, 6:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.03%chance

282692

OptionVotes

YES

1016

492

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?

May 5, 6:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.15%chance

151325

OptionVotes

YES

429

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11860

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Estonia

Lithuania

Other

Latvia

Finland

Alaska

Russia's Next Target

Jan 17, 8:07 AMApr 26, 8:12 PM

17778

OptionProbability

Transnistria (Moldova)

Baltic States (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania)

Other

Poland

Finland

Belarus

Turkey

Moldova

Greenland

USA

Kaliningrad (internal)

Azerbaijan

Hybrid warfare against NATO members

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2028?

May 5, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.67%chance

10269

OptionVotes

YES

347

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Prediction markets for Baltic

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Prediction markets for Baltic

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?

Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

Will Rail Baltica be completed by the end of 2026?

Air Baltic defaults on 2024 14.5% EUR bond before August 14, 2029?

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

Russia's Next Target

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2028?

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