Baltic News

Eagle S Crew Faces Finnish Trial Over Baltic Cable Cuts

8 months ago

India

Tariffs

Economics

India to Lift Russian Oil Imports Despite New 50% U.S. Tariffs

8 months ago

Latvia

War

Politics

Von der Leyen Starts Baltic Tour, Calls Putin ‘Predator’ Over Hybrid Threats

8 months ago

Europe

War

Politics

European, Nordic and Baltic Leaders Vow Stronger Sanctions, Ceasefire, Security Guarantees, and Support for Ukraine

9 months ago

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Nov 6, 4:14 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

20.12%chance

8245799

OptionVotes

YES

11819

6607

Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?

Jan 21, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.04%chance

8824297

OptionVotes

YES

1090

1073

Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?

Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.72%chance

6418412

OptionVotes

YES

2953

891

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

44.05%chance

589686

OptionVotes

YES

1127

887

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

May 21, 10:38 AMJul 1, 8:59 PM

11.78%chance

235162

OptionVotes

YES

2044

748

Will Rail Baltica be completed by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 8:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1%chance

135065

OptionVotes

YES

5384

829

Air Baltic defaults on 2024 14.5% EUR bond before August 14, 2029?

Apr 22, 8:31 PMAug 13, 11:59 PM

55%chance

153963

OptionVotes

YES

1106

905

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

93132

OptionProbability

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?

Feb 26, 6:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.03%chance

282692

OptionVotes

YES

1016

492

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?

May 5, 6:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8%chance

141235

OptionVotes

YES

339

Russia's Next Target

Jan 17, 8:07 AMApr 26, 8:12 PM

17778

OptionProbability

Transnistria (Moldova)

Baltic States (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania)

Other

Poland

Finland

Belarus

Turkey

Moldova

Greenland

USA

Kaliningrad (internal)

Azerbaijan

Hybrid warfare against NATO members

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2028?

May 5, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.67%chance

10269

OptionVotes

YES

347

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Prediction markets for Baltic

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Prediction markets for Baltic

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?

Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

Will Rail Baltica be completed by the end of 2026?

Air Baltic defaults on 2024 14.5% EUR bond before August 14, 2029?

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?

Russia's Next Target

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2028?

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